[NautiNurse]

Forecast models converging on New Orleans area. However, Katrina has been delaying the anticipated turn.

[Ingtar]

They delayed the call for the turn to the west until tomorrow. But I notice that the projected path still shows west for the first leg. Is this forcasterese for "we don't know?"

[NormsRevenge]

Thanks. :)

Tropical Storm Five Day Forecast Map (~23K)

[nwctwx]

New 00z guidance --MM5 GFS ETA RGEM, DISASTER for nat gas!!
Meteorologist: Dave Tolleris

US Gulf of Mexico Oil and Gas Production Impact Estimate

Eastern United States Weather Forums

[nuclady]

Many thanks, NN. You do such a superb job!

[AntiGuv]

Thanks for the ping!!

I think Katrina is still intensely unpredictable for a couple reasons. There's no telling when exactly that ridge that's keeping the storm from tracking north will move westward as predicted, and once Katrina slips through it's altogether possible the hurricane will begin tracking back toward the northeast. The computer models seem to match pretty well right now, but they are all operating on the same basic assumption of when and how the ridge will move west.

[Racehorse]

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part III

Wow, I stumbled in here because I misread the title:  Hurricane Katherine (Harris) Live Thread, Part III.

Wondered why she rated a late night/early morning live thread.

Think I'll lurk for awhile!  We have friends and family scattered throughout the area.

Thanks.

[Flyer]

Howdy.

I've had Crawford on the mind and have only been watching Katrina with less than half a mind. By the time I get back Sunday it could be interesting.

I'm Crawford bound!

[tom paine 2]

bump Nice work gathering all the data.

[trillabodilla]

Good morning, NN and other FReepers.

I am in Louisiana and going this morning to stock up on water, batteries, etc.

JUST IN CASE!

We live just a little bit north of Baton Rouge.

[dogbyte12]

000
WTNT32 KNHC 271146
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KATRINA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
8 AM EDT SAT AUG 27 2005

...KATRINA MOVING WESTWARD THROUGH THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
WITH 115 MPH WINDS...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM WEST OF THE SEVEN
MILE BRIDGE WESTWARD TO KEY WEST INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE EYE OF HURRICANE KATRINA WAS LOCATED BY
RADAR AND RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...
LONGITUDE 84.6 WEST OR ABOUT 430 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE MOUTH OF
THE MISSISSIPPI RIVER AND ABOUT 180 MILES WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.

KATRINA IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 7 MPH... 11 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
KATRINA IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE.
SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT
KATRINA HAS BECOME A LARGER HURRICANE. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 40 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE
WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES. TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
ARE OCCURRING JUST OFFSHORE OF THE NORTHERN COAST OF WESTERN CUBA.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 940 MB...27.91 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
CAN BE EXPECTED ALONG THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF FLORIDA IN AREAS OF
ONSHORE FLOW EAST OF CAPE SABLE... AND IN FLORIDA BAY. STORM SURGE
WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE TODAY.

KATRINA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES
OVER WESTERN CUBA... AND 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL IS EXPECTED
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA. RAINFALL IS EXPECTED TO SLOWLY DIMINISH
ACROSS THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS TODAY... ALTHOUGH AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 2
INCHES OF RAIN IS POSSIBLE IN SOME OF THE HEAVIER RAIN BANDS.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE THIS MORNING OVER THE LOWER FLORIDA
KEYS.

REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...24.4 N... 84.6 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NEAR 7 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...115 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 940 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT.

FORECASTER BEVEN

[Alia]

Thank you for the ping! I'm learning a lot about hurricanes and "paths" from these threads.

[FlJoePa]

Need a little help for a friend in Fort Lauderdale. I've been through it, now she's going through it.

Does anyone have any idea where ice may be being distributed in the Fort Lauderdale area? An exhaustive google search turned up pretty much nothing.

Thanks in advance, and my thoughts are with those in the Gulf States.