Of course, I could be wrong; I just say it will miss it due to my distrust of the models.
However, we really will not have a good handle on this until tomorrow afternoon at the earliest.
If it still is headed toward NO, GET OUT OF DODGE immediately because your luck may have run out.
The problem is that this one is going to surprise a lot of people because of the shift. I think the roads will be a parking lot by the time people realize they need to leave. We are staying. We actually live on a ridge (in Metairie), 12 feet above sea level.