It is extremely unlikely that a Cat 4/5 will hit N.O. dead on. The odds are in the favor of the city. Course one day the game will be up :) heh
how can it be "extremely unlikely" - look at these model tracks, half of them bring it in over NO or even west of NO, which would mean NO would be in the eastern part of the eye wall.
They might be, if N.O. hadn't already been dodging this particular bullet for 300 years. That city's living on borrowed time.
-Dan