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Tropical Depression Twelve

Posted on 08/23/2005 11:43:35 AM PDT by nwctwx

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To: nwctwx

I'm scheduled to fly out to the midwest tomorrow afternoon until Friday night.


21 posted on 08/23/2005 12:47:43 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Start a pool on which area will be hit Labor Day Weekend?

I say outer banks N.C....


22 posted on 08/23/2005 12:48:43 PM PDT by dakine
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To: NautiNurse

23 posted on 08/23/2005 12:48:59 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin

Any baby sightings yet?


24 posted on 08/23/2005 12:50:58 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

No! And, yes, we're ALL cranky........LOL.


25 posted on 08/23/2005 12:52:54 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin

Is she overdue?


26 posted on 08/23/2005 12:55:28 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: nwctwx

It ATE another tropical depression?


27 posted on 08/23/2005 12:56:38 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: NautiNurse

No, due Friday, but having BIG TIME contractions since the middle of July; she's never gone this long before; usually 3 weeks early.

The doctor said it won't be long; she's so far down, there's nowhere left for her to go.......LOL.


28 posted on 08/23/2005 1:01:58 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin

lol--makes my bladder hurt just thinking about it.


29 posted on 08/23/2005 1:08:34 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Oh poo! They just keep coming, at least they weren't all aimed at us!!


30 posted on 08/23/2005 1:26:13 PM PDT by tutstar (OurFlorida.true.ws)
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To: tutstar

heh--seems like we've had a long break from the action, from a relative standpoint.


31 posted on 08/23/2005 1:28:47 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

We're DOOOOOMEEDDD! Thanks for the updates!


32 posted on 08/23/2005 1:32:25 PM PDT by The South Texan (The Democrat Party and the leftist (ABCCBSNBCCNN NYLATIMES)media are a criminal enterprise!)
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To: NautiNurse

Yeah, I've really been savoring this lull, was hoping it'd extend for awhile, guess that idea was too good to be true, here we are at the end of August, peak of the season.


33 posted on 08/23/2005 1:35:27 PM PDT by Sam Cree (absolute reality)
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To: The South Texan

Women & minorities, etc, etc...


34 posted on 08/23/2005 1:36:32 PM PDT by johnb838 (Has the Vietnam war ever really ended in this country?)
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To: dakine

BITE YOUR TONGUE..............


35 posted on 08/23/2005 1:36:45 PM PDT by Gabz (USSG Warning: portable sewing machines are known to cause broken ankles)
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To: All

36 posted on 08/23/2005 1:37:01 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: nwctwx

Tropical Depression Twelve Forecast/Advisory Number 1

Statement as of 21:00Z on August 23, 2005


at 5 PM EDT...2100z...the government of the Bahamas has issued a
tropical warning Storm Warning for the central and northwestern
Bahamas.

A tropical storm or Hurricane Watch may be required for portions of
southern Florida later tonight.

Tropical depression center located near 23.2n 75.5w at 23/2100z
position accurate within 30 nm

present movement toward the northwest or 310 degrees at 7 kt

estimated minimum central pressure 1007 mb
Max sustained winds 30 kt with gusts to 40 kt.
Winds and seas vary greatly in each quadrant. Radii in nautical
miles are the largest radii expected anywhere in that quadrant.

Repeat...center located near 23.2n 75.5w at 23/2100z
at 23/1800z center was located near 23.0n 75.2w

forecast valid 24/0600z 24.0n 76.5w
Max wind 35 kt...gusts 45 kt.
34 kt... 60ne 60se 50sw 0nw.

Forecast valid 24/1800z 25.0n 77.7w
Max wind 40 kt...gusts 50 kt.
34 kt... 60ne 60se 60sw 30nw.

Forecast valid 25/0600z 25.7n 78.5w
Max wind 45 kt...gusts 55 kt.
34 kt... 60ne 60se 60sw 60nw.

Forecast valid 25/1800z 26.0n 79.4w
Max wind 60 kt...gusts 75 kt.
50 kt... 35ne 25se 25sw 35nw.
34 kt... 70ne 60se 60sw 70nw.

Forecast valid 26/1800z 26.3n 81.0w...inland
Max wind 50 kt...gusts 60 kt.
50 kt... 25ne 20se 20sw 20nw.
34 kt... 70ne 60se 60sw 60nw.

Extended outlook. Note...errors for track have averaged near 250 nm
on day 4 and 325 nm on day 5...and for intensity near 20 kt each day

outlook valid 27/1800z 26.5n 83.5w
Max wind 60 kt...gusts 75 kt.

Outlook valid 28/1800z 27.5n 86.0w
Max wind 65 kt...gusts 80 kt.

Request for 3 hourly ship reports within 300 miles of 23.2n 75.5w

next advisory at 24/0300z

forecaster Stewart


37 posted on 08/23/2005 1:38:28 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: Brytani

Yes, South Florida should watch: winds and rain likely. Nothing more. Will be contacting family down there soon.


38 posted on 08/23/2005 1:39:28 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (I am SO glad to no longer be associated with the party of Dependence on Government!)
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To: dc-zoo
Yeah poor old Jose sure didn't get to live very long and was hardly even noticed.

A product, no doubt, of the anti-Hispanic bias of the Bush administration.

39 posted on 08/23/2005 1:41:01 PM PDT by Recovering_Democrat (I am SO glad to no longer be associated with the party of Dependence on Government!)
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To: Gabz

Ouch...!


40 posted on 08/23/2005 1:45:29 PM PDT by dakine
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