Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: Kevin OMalley
"I'm glad to see someone posting the classic fallacies. Cool. Does that fallacy apply when people say, "the majority of scholars" or "most scientists" or "the great majority of Islamic Imams" hold to such & such belief? "

If you want to use the authorities on a subject to back your position that is fine, it isn't a fallacy then. If however you do what both DI and the originators (NCSI I believe) of Project Steve* have done and include authorities that really aren't authorities, then that is using a fallacy. There *are* authorities in the fields of evolution; when comparing, compare only them. I'm not discounting the possibility of the minority being correct, it has happened in the past, but as a general rule the majority of authorities, when they agree, should be taken as support of the theory. Usually, if an idea has any validity, the majority of authorities will, through their own investigation of the primary research, come to accept it. ID has been around, in one form or another for more than 200 years. It is still not accepted by the vast majority of evolutionary scientists.

"My problem is that I still need to rely upon some level of authority because I'm not a PhD biologist/chemist/astronomer. So how do I determine which folks are reliable authorities? My benchmark is usually to see who is acknowledged as an authority on BOTH sides of a conflict. In this case, it appears that the abiog's don't hold ANY of the creat's as a legitimate authority.

There is a difference in the way IDists and scientists work. You will seldom find an IDist publishing a paper critical of other IDists. In science, those that come up with novel approaches, or ideas, that end up having an impact on our knowledge, are given money, and influence. Because of this you will find arguments happening all through science. This may sound like a bad thing, but it isn't, in fact it is the best way to make sure as many ideas as possible are put forward, that published papers use correct methodology and bogus ideas are debunked. An adversarial system is necessary. ID does not have this. The reason for this is the intense push to find facts to prove the point. In ID, as in creation science, the idea is paramount, the evidence for it is not.

Look at the evidence. Look at the problems, and proposed solutions. Compare what is expected, and what is found.

"But that doesn't fly because the president of the U.S. has a stated position on this matter in terms of public policy. So I'm stuck with finding out what the real numbers of scientists are, whether they are on the order of fruitcakes who believe in astrology, and whether they really do have a leg to stand on.

Your president not only considers what scientists say but what his advisers say. Find out the beliefs of his advisers and how much impact and influence on those advisers the two factions have.

" My suspicion is that the president was in the same position. But when he sends out an invitation to a PhD astronomer to answer some questions, that guy shows up and spends the time to explain things to him. I don't have that kind of authority. So I have to ask myself whether the president went through that kind of exercise before he came out with such a position. From what I've seen about how he operates, the answer is yes, he did deliberate on it with some acknowledged authorities on both sides.

He probably did. He probably also took the advice of his closest advisers, none of whom would be considered an authority. The president doesn't have the time to look into the issue fully, so would make the most politically expedient decision.

No matter what the president said, there will be those that jump at any support they can read into the statement, from both sides.

289 posted on 08/23/2005 11:31:27 AM PDT by b_sharp (Science adjusts theories to fit evidence, creationism distorts evidence to fit the Bible.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 281 | View Replies ]


To: b_sharp

Good post. I'm still having some trouble with the authority thingie.

If however you do what both DI and the originators (NCSI I believe) of Project Steve* have done and include authorities that really aren't authorities, then that is using a fallacy.
***Is there a list of creat authorities that the abiogs accept? Or are there simply none? If there are none, then how did we get this far such that a president thinks there IS some scientific basis for the position? I understand the concept of "vast majority", so that means we're really talking about a very small, vocal minority. It shouldn't be impossible to pin down the number.

You will seldom find an IDist publishing a paper critical of other IDists.
***Those types of guys must be the authorities that I am looking for. someone who won't blow the whole thing out of proportion (220 orders of magnitude difference between 2 camps!). Seldom does not mean never. Where are these guys?

Usually, if an idea has any validity, the majority of authorities will, through their own investigation of the primary research, come to accept it.
***One idea which certainly had validity but found no acceptance in its own generation was tectonic plate theory. It took several decades for the old generation of scientists who didn't accept it to die off, and a new, more open minded generation replaced them.

Your president
***Yikes, he's your president, too.

not only considers what scientists say but what his advisers say. Find out the beliefs of his advisers and how much impact and influence on those advisers the two factions have.
***Like the pres, I don't have the time but unlike him I don't have the authority. I might have to trust that he did it properly. Some of his advisers are scientists, some are authorities in politics and domestic policy. There is certainly no lack of authority on the policy side. The only open question is what kind of scientific authority did the president listen to? There must be at least some, or his request would have fallen on deaf ears.

He probably also took the advice of his closest advisers, none of whom would be considered an authority.
*** I would presume for your statement to make sense that you mean these guys aren't scientific authorities. Is there any basis for that statement?

The president doesn't have the time to look into the issue fully, so would make the most politically expedient decision.
***Yup, like I said, when a guy needs to hang his hat he'll hang it on your candlestick if it's near the door. I'm not so sure that the president needed to be expedient on this one. He's 5 years into his administration, no need to worry about re-election, he's starting to think about his legacy, he's on vacation. It doesn't have the look & feel of an expedient decision.


295 posted on 08/23/2005 12:44:04 PM PDT by Kevin OMalley (No, not Freeper#95235, Freeper #1165: Charter member, What Was My Login Club.)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 289 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson