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Able Danger Danger
Powerline ^ | August 16, 2005

Posted on 08/16/2005 5:11:14 PM PDT by Anti-Bubba182

Edited on 08/16/2005 6:40:22 PM PDT by Admin Moderator. [history]

August 16, 2005

Able Danger Danger

I've been meaning for the last several days to do a post on the Able Danger story, expressing the view that some conservatives have pushed the story too far, in view of the great uncertainty about whether the key "fact" in the story--that Able Danger operatives identified Mohammed Atta as an al Qaeda member prior to September 11--was true. In the meantime, a number of others have beaten me to it. This morning, Jim Geraghty has more:

Just heard from a guy I trust that the Pentagon will be releasing information regarding Able Danger in the not too distant future. The short version: Don't expect any bombshells.

Thank you, Congressman Weldon, for getting just enough of this story right (the existence of Able Danger and its mission) to get folks like myself and lot of others to take you seriously. Those others weren't just bloggers, by the way - I'm talking about the New York Times, the AP, the Bergen Record...

And thanks a [really bad word] heap for getting more than enough wrong that we look like idiots for trusting you.

You know, like that rather key element that Able Danger had picked out four of the 9/11 hijackers and recommended they be picked up by the FBI. I can see how you could mix up that pesky little detail.

Thank you for making all of these stunning allegations without any supporting evidence. Thank you for not having any documents, memos, or anything beyond allegations from an anonymous former defense intelligence guy who is unwilling to come forward and speak on the record.

Here is the point I really want to emphasize: the Able Danger story was yet another example of the peril of anonymous sources. We have repeatedly attacked the use of anonymous sources by organs like the New York Times and Washington Post; now Congressman Weldon has done the same thing. The whole story came from an anonymous source who claimed to have been part of military intelligence, and of Able Danger.

Importantly, this is not a situation where an anonymous source supplied a tip that journalists and others could then go out and investigate. No: in this instance the anonymous source's alleged memory of having seen Atta's name on an Able Danger list was the whole story. No one could possibly evaluate the credibility of the claim without, as a starting point, knowing who it is who claims to have the memory.

I was also troubled by the source's statement that Pentagon lawyers made a decision not to allow the information on Atta to be passed on to law enforcement. At best, this could only be hearsay. Again, without knowing who the source is, and without the opportunity to question him about how he purports to know what was done by Pentagon lawyers, it was hard to give much--or any--credibility to his claim. Moreover, if the claim was true, a paper trail would exist. Memos would have been written, copied and filed in multiple locations. And, while I suppose it is barely possible that such explosive documents could have remained unknown for the past four years, I think that is extremely unlikely.

In other words, there were good reasons not to trust the source--his unwillingness to go public--and good reasons to think that what he said was most probably false.

The moral, I think, is that we should be extremely skeptical of any news story predicated on the accounts of anonymous sources, no matter how we feel about the implications of the story.

Posted by John at 11:49 AM

UPDATE

Anonymous No More

Earlier today, I wrote that the military officer claiming to have identified Mohammed Atta as an al Qaeda agent in advance of September 11 could not be considered credible unless and unless he steps forward and sheds his anonymity. Now he's done just that:

[Lt. Col. Anthony] Shaffer said in an interview that the small, highly classified intelligence program known as Able Danger had identified by name the terrorist ringleader, Mohammed Atta, as well three of the other future hijackers by mid-2000, and had tried to arrange a meeting that summer with agents of the F.B.I.'s Washington field office to share the information.

But he said military lawyers forced members of the intelligence program to cancel three scheduled meetings with the F.B.I. at the last minute, which left the bureau without information that Colonel Shaffer said might have led to Mr. Atta and the other terrorists while the Sept. 11 plot was still being planned.

This is great. Now we can begin the process of getting to the bottom of this story. Col. Shaffer is prepared to take on the Sept. 11 commission:

Colonel Shaffer said he had decided to allow his name to be used in news accounts in part because of his frustration with the statement issued last week by the commission leaders, Thomas H. Kean and Lee H. Hamilton.

At this point, we have absolutely no way to know who is right about Able Danger and Mohammed Atta. But initial reactions from the commission are interesting:

A commission spokesman did not return repeated phone calls for comment. A Democratic member of the commission, Richard Ben Veniste, the former Watergate prosecutor, said in an interview today that while he could not judge the credibility of the information from Colonel Shaffer and others, the Pentagon needed to "provide a clear and comprehensive explanation regarding what information it had in its possession regarding Mr. Atta."

"And if these assertions are credible," he continued, "the Pentagon would need to explain why it was that the 9/11 commissioners were not provided this information despite request for all information regarding to Able Danger."

As the Trunk likes to say: Stay tuned.

Posted by John at 07:55 PM | Permalink


TOPICS: News/Current Events; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: abeldanger; abledanger; atta; weldon; wot
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To: Anti-Bubba182

A quick question:

Have there been any real important breaking news stories related to Able Danger since the original story? There have been so many articles, a lot of the overlaps, and its getting difficult to keep track of.

Basically all I am seeing is members of the 911 commission and the Clintons squirming and flipflopping all over the place trying to BS Weldon's story.


21 posted on 08/16/2005 7:07:40 PM PDT by zendari
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To: zendari

See 18. The appearance of LtCol. Schaefer is a new and important development as have been the hedging and corrections
of the 911 Commission. If Schaefer's story holds up, this will be a big story.


22 posted on 08/16/2005 7:13:45 PM PDT by Anti-Bubba182
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To: Anti-Bubba182

That's what makes this site interesting--the contributions of all the posters who have relevant info to add. You're welcome.


23 posted on 08/16/2005 7:17:25 PM PDT by the Real fifi
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To: All
OKAY, HERE IT IS [Re: Lt. Col. Shaffer/Able Danger]
24 posted on 08/16/2005 7:29:55 PM PDT by Anti-Bubba182
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To: coloradan

Hehe. You have good recall on that stuff. Government is so friggin arrogant, this info will fade into a memory hole. Count on it! Only the kooky right will be harping on it.


25 posted on 08/16/2005 7:33:28 PM PDT by Stew Padasso ("That boy is nuttier than a squirrel turd.")
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To: the Real fifi

Well, considering the main people taking this seriously are those on talk radio and this board, a few of these blogs and 'prominent conservatives' all over TV are going to have to do penance for running away from Weldon, the story and those who wouldn't back down.


26 posted on 08/16/2005 7:53:19 PM PDT by Soul Seeker
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To: Soul Seeker

Actually today's NYT and SF Chroncicle are carrying Shaeffer's story tonight. Podhoretz has backed off, instapundit says there's some 'splaining to be done, etc. We're off to the races.


27 posted on 08/16/2005 8:05:28 PM PDT by the Real fifi
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To: the Real fifi

That's my point.

After crawling under a rock trying to distance, suddenly they are back on board. IMO, they have to do penance for their actions the last couple of days. Good to have them back onboard (sort of) but their behavior isn't easily excused.

The conservatives that stuck their necks out on this, Weldon and those coming forward deserve the true KUDOS.

I have no idea how far this will go, but the Truth should be the main objective for any conservative.


28 posted on 08/16/2005 8:15:02 PM PDT by Soul Seeker
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To: Anti-Bubba182

Toss this report onto the trash heap, right along with the others. As soon as he went on TV, he was no longer an anonymous source and this report is no longer news.


29 posted on 08/16/2005 8:19:33 PM PDT by Lone Red Ranger (Never let the weeds get higher than the garden...)
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To: All

An Able Danger story is finally on DRUDGE. I can't believe it took him so long.


30 posted on 08/17/2005 2:53:37 PM PDT by Anti-Bubba182
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