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China struggling to meet fuel shortages as loss-making refineries cut output
AP via MoneySense.ca ^ | 8/16/2005 | Elaine Kurtenbach

Posted on 08/16/2005 6:24:01 AM PDT by BoringGuy

SHANGHAI (AP) - Officials scrambled Tuesday to resolve severe gasoline and diesel shortages in China's south and east amid complaints that government price controls are worsening supply problems.

Drivers in the southern province of Guangdong were waiting for hours for gasoline in lengthy lineups, sometimes leaving with empty tanks when supplies ran out, state media reports said.

In the southern city of Shenzhen, which borders Hong Kong, more than half of all gas stations closed Monday as shortages worsened, the Hong Kong-based newspaper South China Morning Post reported.

Although disruptions to tanker traffic due to recent typhoons were one factor, the crisis is mainly blamed on government price controls that prevent local refineries from passing on higher costs due to surging crude oil prices.

Signs of supply shortages began surfacing earlier this month, with reports that Guangdong filling stations were limiting vehicles to 50 yuan, or $6 US, worth of fuel - or about 11 litres of gas.

At the pump in Guangdong, gasoline currently retails for 4.28 yuan a litre.

An official in the Shenzhen government's information office confirmed that the city was struggling to resolve the problem, saying it would take some time. In the meantime, the official, who refused to give his name, provided a list of 56 stations - out of more than 200 in the city - that he said still had fuel to sell.

The daily supply of gasoline to the city was about 10,500 gallons (40,000 litres), while demand is well over 18,500 gallons, the Post reported.

"Generally speaking, the petrol supply in Guangdong is tight," said a publicity department official in the Guangdong branch of China Petroleum and Chemicals Corp., also known as Sinopec.

The outlook for just about every fuel category was "not optimistic," said the official, who gave only her surname, Huang.

Reports said the shortages had spread to Shanghai and eastern China's Zhejiang province. Shanghai's city government and filling station employees denied the city was facing shortages.

The government has appealed to major fuel suppliers Sinopec and China National Petroleum Corp. to boost shipments into Guangdong.

"Sinopec is trying to transport oil from other parts of China to fulfill Guangdong's needs," said Huang. But she added, "It does not totally depend on us."

The shortages have prompted unusually forthright calls in the state-controlled media for changes in controls that fix gas and diesel prices at levels lagging well behind changes in international crude oil prices.

The shortfalls have "started alarm bells ringing because of the dire consequences a poorly regulated oil industry could bring about for this increasingly energy-thirsty country," the state newspaper China Daily said in a commentary Monday.

Pump prices in China rose an average of 20 per cent year-on-year in the first five months of the year, while international crude oil prices surged 30 per cent during the same time. Crude oil prices were hovering above $66 a barrel Tuesday, about 46 per cent above the level a year ago.

With those higher costs eating into profits, domestic refiners reported net losses totalling 4.19 billion yuan ($517 million) in the first six months of this year, down from a net profit of 16.4 billion yuan ($2 billion) a year earlier.

Instead of meeting rising demand at home, refineries have instead boosted exports to markets overseas, where they can charge higher prices.


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Extended News; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: capitalism; centralcontrol; china; oil
Instead of meeting rising demand at home, refineries have instead boosted exports to markets overseas, where they can charge higher prices.

This looks like a classic tug-of-war between free market and central control. I suspect that you will see more situations like this develop in the PRC in the near future.

1 posted on 08/16/2005 6:24:03 AM PDT by BoringGuy
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To: BoringGuy

It also looks like the Chinese are paying about $2.18/gallon which is certainly below market price here in Chicago.


2 posted on 08/16/2005 6:40:11 AM PDT by Thebaddog (How's yer dawgs?)
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To: Thebaddog
Sounds like it is below market in China also.

I was listening to China Radio International on shortwave last night. They were discussing the high oil prices and assuring Chinese citizens that the government price controls would protect them from high prices.

The market in China is not totally free, but is free enough to let shortages develop when prices are below market. I am really interested in seeing how they address the situation (forced allocations, subsidies, or continued shortages).

3 posted on 08/16/2005 6:48:42 AM PDT by BoringGuy
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To: BoringGuy
Hmmm...

Venezuelan President Threatens U.S. With an Oil Embargo

Oil embargo best response to nuclear issue - Iranian hardline daily

I wonder where they might start shipping after they embargo us?
4 posted on 08/16/2005 6:52:37 AM PDT by BJClinton (Billy Jack: One tin moonbat rides away)
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To: BoringGuy
>>>>Pump prices in China rose an average of 20 per cent year-on-year in the first five months of the year, while international crude oil prices surged 30 per cent during the same time.


Price controls always lead to shortage. This is exactly what happened at the Russian GUM department stores.
5 posted on 08/16/2005 6:55:50 AM PDT by .cnI redruM (The 9-11 Commission is an act of Errorism.)
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To: .cnI redruM
Price controls always lead to shortage. This is exactly what happened at the Russian GUM department stores. I agree and believe that is what we are currently seeing. Hovever, they appear to have the refining capacity to overcome the shortage, but are currently letting it follow a free market path to the highest price (as they should from my laissez faire viewpoint). My concern is what will happen if PRC feels a need to allieviate the shortages to avoid unrest. How would they go about it? Would they assume control of the process and force allocate, or use their foreign currency reserves (they certainly have enough) to subsidize?

I look at this as a chance to see just how far the PRC will let the free market go.

6 posted on 08/16/2005 7:11:19 AM PDT by BoringGuy
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To: BoringGuy

"Chinese state-owned oil firm Sinopec confirms interest in Alberta oil sands"

http://www.beijing.gc.ca/beijing/en/1737.htm
http://www.energybulletin.net/3535.html
http://www.worldpipelines.com/Pipelines/WP_contentsJuly05.htm

Sinopec is securing energy resources everywhere...including right above us...


7 posted on 08/16/2005 9:17:12 AM PDT by MD_Willington_1976
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