Now I don't see Bush as having a choice whether to invade Iran, since he invaded Iraq on 'assumed' WMD, rather than concrete as is the case now with Iran.
The question now is when and how?"
I think that it has to coincide with a couple of things:
1) Receiving oil from Iraq. Contracts are being formed now on a broad scale to buy the oil 'legally'. When we are shut off from Tehran, we need a major supplyer. I am not an expert, but based on what I see on the ground, we are six months away.
2) The Euroweenies are failing negotiations with Iran (what a surprise). It is raising the ire of the EU but at the same time they also are highly reliant on Iran for oil. It would make an invasion a lot easier if we can have the support of Europe instead of opposing us so hand in hand we both have to impose harsh sanctions on Iran, including a naval blockade if necessary and have oil from Iraq.
I am guessing a 12 months before we could do the above mentioned and 18 months to have enough troop deployment to get the job done if we have to go in.
2) The Euroweenies are failing negotiations with Iran (what a surprise)....
I'm Dutch, and Holland is filled with quasi-hippies who want peace and tranquility.....if it works well now they would rather keep the peace, although, they could look down the road a bit and see that the sh*t is going to hit the fan soon. But the road seems a bit hazy.....wonder why ;-)
It's about time to start a nice little crusade against the koran and therefore Islam, since we would be paying quite a bit less if it weren't for OPEC. We are non-muslims, therefore we are forced to pay more.
This is going to be a bloody crusade, I tell you, but could be decided a bit quicker since we've improved our ability (Americans and Europeans, once the Euros step up to the plate) to over-saturate the target with uranium-depleted bullets. Time to blow off the dust of those mini-nukes. Could be used in North Korea, but sure as hell can now. :)
Finally have to stop targeting 'evildoers' and finally put an actual face on the target.