Did you figure in the rise in the cost of oil and dislocation to the worlds capital markets in your
scenario?
Mind you I agree that it is necessary and desirable
to achieve regime change, but we need to accurately
assess what the collateral effects could be..
"Did you figure in the rise in the cost of oil and dislocation to the worlds capital markets in your
scenario?"
No, I just look at the military balances. Modeling politics and economics I leave to others, who have considerably more computational horsepower.
FWIW, the price of oil and gasoline dropped at the beginning of both Operation Desert Strom and Operation Iraqi Freedom.