LOL! They're not speculating on the continuing inability of to drill in ANWR - they're speculating on growing consumption coming from China, India, HERE, etc. They're also speculating on an eventual showdown with Iran and the potential for civil unrest in Saudi Arabia.
The prices may drop briefly, but when it becomes clear there's a better chance of a global nuclear war occurring before the first drop comes out of ANWR, it's going to go right back up.
Protecting the Tundra of ANWR is a mental illness. The more oil on the market the lower the price. Period !