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To: robertpaulsen
Once a week, I'd believe -- petty theft, vagrancy, public intoxication, prostitution, whatever. Once every two years is beyond credulity.

In the footnotes:

"For example, in the 1993 Household Survey, about 58 percent of weekly cocaine users surveyed had been arrested and booked at some time, 39 percent during the year prior to the survey. In the National AIDS Demonstration Research data, 81 percent of heavy cocaine users had been arrested at some time in their lives, and one-third had been in jail or prison during the six months prior to the interview.

Drug Czar Barry McCaffrey, Oct 4, 2000:

"Now I would also suggest to you that we've gotten a lot further, 'cause we brought in some of the most noted scientists, epidemiologists, mathematicians, statistical people in the country. We've identified the gaps in our data."

I say again, the government flat out says the numbers you using are invalid for hardcore use estimates. The Drug Czar himself said the same thing, and used the figure I've been citing: 980,000.

89 posted on 08/03/2005 8:48:58 AM PDT by Ken H
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To: Ken H

Not to worry Ken H, to qoute Forest Gump...tyrants are what tyrants do. Ignorance is curable, self inflected ignorance is stupidity.

Lurker


90 posted on 08/03/2005 5:33:06 PM PDT by Lurker 50001
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To: Ken H
The DUF's numbers are based on the utterances of arrested hard-core cocaine and heroin users -- then they start estimating.

In 2002, we had, what, 1.5 million drug arrests? And 30% of those were for cocaine and heroin, sale and possession (need a link?).

So, according to you, we have 4.5 million hard core, strung-out-over-one-third-of-the-time cocaine and heroin addicts, and we're arresting only 450,000 per year? 10%, if we're arresting each addict only once per year.

"the government flat out says the numbers you using are invalid"

Fine. You believe the government numbers. I don't.

They're based solely on estimates, and those estimates are applied to the testimony of arrested drug addicts.

91 posted on 08/03/2005 7:55:31 PM PDT by robertpaulsen
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