So, while you're looking for a 'friendly wager' - I'm squirling away what little I have to weather the storms that will come to be if Cheney/Rice choose not to save the GOP.
You've got your mind made up....one problem: you're wrong, Cheney will NOT run in 2008. Are you that naive to think that his serious health problems wouldn't become a major issue in the campaign?
The political landscap will be different, including the media....3 years is an eon in regards to the internet. Even more people will have turned away from TV and go to internet/blogs/FR to get their news. The conservative base will be rabid for a REAL conservative, border controls, etc.
George Allen could win
Cheney has said since 2000, that he would NOT run for president And so has his wife.
Rice doesn't want top be the president; she wants to be the football commissioner...or whatever it's called.
And since we have no idea who is even going to run in the HOP '98 presidential primaries, your patently ridiculous predictions are worthless; not to mention silly in the extreme.