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Hurricane Emily (Live Thread, Part IV)
NOAA-NHC ^ | 19 July 2005 | NHC

Posted on 07/19/2005 1:28:45 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Emily approached landfall along Western Gulf Coast...Hurricanes Emily and Dennis are the strongest July storms in recorded history for the Atlantic hurricane basin...

Hurricane Emily resources--the links are self-updating for handy reference:

NHC Hurricane Public Advisory Updates Currently published every three hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, 5P, etc. ET.

NHC Hurricane Discussion Updates Published every 6 hours 5A, 11A, 5P, 11P ET

Storm Floater IR Loop Little boxes at top of image: lat/lon, and Trop Fcst Pts--click 'em.

Gulf of Mexico IR Loop

GOM Visible Loop (Only works during daylight hours)

Visible Storm Floater Sat Daylight Hours--Both loop and latest image

Western Gulf of Mexico Bouy Data

South Padre Island Weather

Brownsville TX radar loop 

Brownsville Experimental Radar with Severe Weather Overlay Shows tornado and flood watches/warnings

Channel 5 local News Coverage

KRGT-TV/DT Harlingen-Brownsville, TX (WMP) - mms://video.mpcstudios.com/krgv_live

Tampico Mexico Radar Very Slow Load

Hurricane Track Forecast

Hurricane Model Projections

Emily Forecast Track Archive Loop Great for reviewing the NHC 3 day and 5 day historic track positions



Some more resources:

Hurricane City

Global Satellite Imagery Amazing view of the world (Broadband)

Water Vapor SatelliteAnother colorful loop for broadband

Central Florida Hurricane Center offers a variety of info

The Saffir-Simpson Scale. Source: Hurricane Categories
Category Wind Speed Barometric
Pressure
Storm Surge Damage Potential
1
(weak)
75 - 95 mph
65 - 82 kts
33 - 42 m/s
> 28.94 in. Hg
> 980.0 mb
> 97.7 kPa
4.0 - 5.0 ft.
1.2 - 1.5 m
minimal damage to vegetation
2
(moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
43 - 49 m/s
28.50 - 28.93 in. Hg
965.1 - 979.7 mb
96.2 - 97.7 kPa
6.0 - 8.0 ft.
1.8 - 2.4 m
moderate damage to houses
3
(strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 113 kts
50 - 58 m/s
27.91 - 28.49 in. Hg
945.1 - 964.8 mb
96.2 - 97.7 kPa
9.0 - 12.0 ft.
2.7 - 3.7 m
extensive damage to small buildings
4
(very strong)
131 - 155 mph
114 - 135 kts
59 - 69 m/s
27.17 - 27.90 in. Hg
920.1 - 944.8 mb
91.7 - 94.2 kPa
13.0 - 18.0 ft.
3.9 - 5.5 m
extreme structural damage
5
(devastating)
> 155 mph
> 135 kts
> 70 m/s
< 27.17 in Hg
< 920.1 mb
< 91.7 kPa
> 18.0 ft
> 5.5 m
catastrophic building failures possible


Hurricane Emily Thread III

Hurricane Emily Thread II

Hurricane Emily Thread I


TOPICS: Mexico; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: emily; hurricane; hurricaneemily; tropical; weather
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Please do not post large graphics--some of our TX Freepers have dial up access only. Please be considerate, and post links with descriptions.
1 posted on 07/19/2005 1:28:45 PM PDT by NautiNurse
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To: aberaussie; Alas Babylon!; alnick; Amelia; asp1; Bahbah; balrog666; blam; blueberry12; bonfire; ...

Hurricane Emily nearing landfall on the Western Gulf Coast. Cat 2 Hurricane status. Next update due within 30 minutes.

2 posted on 07/19/2005 1:30:48 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks N....I have been trying to track how it will effect us all day....


3 posted on 07/19/2005 1:32:39 PM PDT by PaulaB
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To: NautiNurse
Local Animated Radar for Brownsville. Looks like a direct hit.
4 posted on 07/19/2005 1:33:07 PM PDT by Izzy Dunne (Hello, I'm a TAGLINE virus. Please help me spread by copying me into YOUR tag line.)
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To: Leapfrog

Ping


5 posted on 07/19/2005 1:35:52 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse; CindyDawg; Pebcak

Thanks for the new thread, NN. You do us a great service.

CD, I see that band coming at us. Looks stronger than anything we've had so far. BP is down to 29.83.

Pebcak, please check in.


6 posted on 07/19/2005 1:36:28 PM PDT by RGVTx
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To: PaulaB

Glad to assist.


7 posted on 07/19/2005 1:36:44 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

How far offshore is she?


8 posted on 07/19/2005 1:36:52 PM PDT by Howlin (Is Valerie Plame a mute?)
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To: NautiNurse

FYI..a short while ago on one of the fast and furious SC nominee threads..everyone was speculating about the nominee...someone..and I can't find the post..wrote.."at the bottom of the CNN crawler, they were talking about someone named , I think it was, Emilee..Anyone know who that is?".....LOL...Talk about tunnel vision..


9 posted on 07/19/2005 1:38:18 PM PDT by ken5050 (Ann Coulter needs to have children ASAP to pass on her gene pool....any volunteers?)
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To: NautiNurse

Prayers for all In Emily's Path! Stay Safe !


10 posted on 07/19/2005 1:38:25 PM PDT by tiredoflaundry (Tampa Bay, Fl. The lightning capital of the world!)
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To: RGVTx
You are very welcome. I have to leave for several hours--figured the traffic would be picking up around here shortly.

There are some additional links added to this thread. Check out the Experimental Radar. Way cool. Also a live feed, added the local news link too.

11 posted on 07/19/2005 1:38:44 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: Howlin

170 miles SE Brownsville


12 posted on 07/19/2005 1:39:16 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: NautiNurse

I wonder if, since we are now just linking here, it would be a good idea to run a parallel thread with the actual hugh graffix posted.


13 posted on 07/19/2005 1:40:19 PM PDT by Sam Cree (Democrats are herd animals)
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To: NautiNurse

Galveston checking in.

No rain at the moment, moderate gusts.

(It was raining horizontal buckets earlier.)


14 posted on 07/19/2005 1:40:19 PM PDT by Michael Goldsberry (an enemy of islam -- Joe Boucher; Leapfrog; Dr.Zoidberg; Lazamataz; ...)
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To: RGVTx
Hurricane Emily Advisory Number 36

Statement as of 4:00 PM CDT on July 19, 2005

...Emily continues to get better organized as it approaches
   northeastern Mexico and far south Texas coastal areas......
...Emily expected to become a major hurricane before landfall... 

 
a Hurricane Warning is in effect for the Lower Texas coast from Port
Mansfield southward to the Texas/Mexico border.

 
A Hurricane Warning remains in effect for northeastern Mexico from
south of the Texas/Mexico border to La Cruz and a Tropical Storm
Warning is in effect from south of La Cruz to Cabo Rojo.

 
A hurricane or Tropical Storm Warning means that hurricane or
tropical storm conditions...respectively...are expected within the
warning area within the next 24 hours.  Preparations to protect
life and property should be rushed to completion.

 

A Tropical Storm Warning and a Hurricane Watch remain in effect
north of Port Mansfield to Baffin Bay Texas.  A Hurricane Watch
means that hurricane conditions are possible within the watch
area...generally within 36 hours.

 
For storm information specific to your area...including possible
inland watches and warnings...please monitor products issued
by your local weather office.

 
At 4 PM CDT...2100z...the center of Hurricane Emily was located near
latitude 24.3 north... longitude 95.6 west or about 145 miles...
230 km... east-northeast of La Pesca Mexico and about 160 miles...
260 km...southeast of Brownsville Texas.

 
Emily is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph...19 km/hr. A
gradual turn toward the west is expected to occur late tonight or
early Wednesday morning. This motion should bring the center of
Emily near the northeastern coast of Mexico by Wednesday morning.

 
Maximum sustained winds are near 100 mph...160 km/hr...with higher
gusts. Emily is a category two hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
scale.  Additional strengthening is forecast during the next 12
hours or so...and Emily could still become a major category three
hurricane before it makes landfall Wednesday morning.

 
Hurricane force winds extend outward up to  50 miles... 85 km...
from the center...and tropical storm force winds extend outward up
to 150 miles...240 km.  During the past hour...NOAA buoy 42002
located about 120 miles northeast of Emily reported a wind gust to
76 mph...110 km/hr. Outer rainbands bringing locally heavy rainfall
and strong gusty winds will continue to spread across the coasts of
far south Texas and northeastern Mexico this afternoon and tonight.

 
The estimated minimum central pressure based on Air Force Reserve
hurricane hunter aircraft reports is  956 mb...28.23 inches.

 
Coastal storm surge flooding of 7 to 10 feet above normal tide
levels...with higher levels in bays...accompanied by large and
dangerous battering waves...can be expected near and to the north
of where the center makes landfall.

 
Rainfall accumulations of 4 to 8 inches are expected over southern
Texas and the lower Rio Grande Valley...with isolated 10 to 12 inch
amounts possible.  Heavier rainfall is likely over northeastern
Mexico where 5 to 10 inches are likely...with isolated maximum
amounts of 15 inches possible.

 
Isolated tornadoes are possible over far south Texas tonight...and
over southern and south-central Texas on Wednesday.

Repeating the 4 PM CDT position...24.3 N... 95.6 W.  Movement
toward...west-northwest near 12 mph.  Maximum sustained
winds...100 mph.  Minimum central pressure... 956 mb.

 
Intermediate advisories will be issued by the National
Hurricane Center at 6 PM CDT and 8 PM CDT followed
by the next complete advisory at 10 PM CDT.

 
Forecaster Stewart

15 posted on 07/19/2005 1:40:24 PM PDT by NautiNurse ("I'd rather see someone go to work for a Republican campaign than sit on their butt."--Howard Dean)
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To: RGVTx

Prayers with you all. Hang on!


16 posted on 07/19/2005 1:42:23 PM PDT by TXBubba ( Democrats: If they don't abort you then they will tax you to death.)
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To: RGVTx

Who's missing? I counted 4 of us the other night. You (Harlingen), Pebcak (McAllen?), me and someone else.


17 posted on 07/19/2005 1:43:47 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: NautiNurse

Thanks for that experimental radar link. That is cool. Lots of info and fast!


18 posted on 07/19/2005 1:47:19 PM PDT by Vermonter
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To: RGVTx

Whoa. Did you just see that Tim Smith has us at 44% now?. The highest %.


19 posted on 07/19/2005 1:49:13 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: CindyDawg; SouthTexas

You might be thinking of SouthTexas in the CC area. ST has been here today and is at work in Callallen right now.


20 posted on 07/19/2005 1:50:23 PM PDT by RGVTx
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