So Steele would get some 30% of the black vote against Queasy? No, Raz didn't give the # for what % of black Steele got matched with Mfume. The writeup was a good way of only giving out half the information.
Mfume 40, Steele 47 overall
Mfume 66, Steele ?? blacks
Mfume 31, Steele 54 whites
Cardin 45, Steele 40 overall
Cardin 51, Steele 30 blacks
Cardin, Steele even among whites
Anyone know the complete numbers?
"Mfume 40, Steele 47 overall
Mfume 66, Steele ?? blacks
Mfume 31, Steele 54 whites
Cardin 45, Steele 40 overall
Cardin 51, Steele 30 blacks
Cardin, Steele even among whites
Anyone know the complete numbers?"
Looking at the results for Mfume, and assuming that all MD voters are either white or black (which is not exactly true, but close enough), it appears that the sample was 75% white and 25% black (which is almost exactly the racial breakdown of MD's voting-age population). Based on that assumption, Steele would receive 26% of the black vote against Mfume! Only 8% of blacks would vote for another candidate or are undecided in a Steele-Mfume race, but 19% of blacks would vote for another candidate or are undecided in a Steele-Cardin race, giving Steele's 30% of the black vote against Cardin the possibility of growing substantially.
As for the white vote in a Steele-Cardin race, the candidates would be tied at 43% with 16% voting for another candidate or currently undecided.
These are GREAT results for Michael Steele this early in the race. According to the poll, black voters appear to be quite willing to consider voting for him, and if Cardin wins the nomination (as appears likely, since there doesn't appear to be another white Democrat in the primary willing to run and perhaps split the white vote with Cardin), the percentage of the black vote going to Steele would be between 30%-49%. As more and more black voters become aware that the Democrats have a glass ceiling for black candidates, as the Cardin-Mfume primary will demonstrate, Steele could get over 40% of the black vote if this poll is anywhere close to the mark.