[nwctwx]

0z data came north, as expected... NHC track is now south of the main hurricane models.

[NautiNurse]

Things are beginning to get interesting...

[Dog Gone]

There's really not much involved in watching Emily's moves for the next couple of days. I guess there's a little drama in how close to Jamaica she comes, and then it's wondering if she'll spend time over the Yucatan.

But the computer models are merely slight variations of the extrapolation of her current forward motion.

It's a 100% certainty that Cancun and Cozumel will have a lousy start to the week no matter what.

Unless the models eventually show a weakening of the ridge and a northward turn, a kid could predict landfall with a ruler.

[NautiNurse]

Pressure 958mb