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To: SlowBoat407

No. I think both are content to continue to fight a proxy war against US interests for as long as possible.

The operative phrase, here, is "as long as possible". The coming party could easily get out of hand. It's hard to say how America will react to 4-8 nukes going off around CONUS in short order. I think they'll wait out the BDA and see what gives.

I do think that Iran is poised to launch on Israel at the first opportunity, as is China to take Taiwan, and DPRNK is just itching to launch on Japan and maybe the US west coast simultaneously. China and India will launch on Pak. Again, operative phrasing is "first opportunity" [read: when the US is least able to react].

There are 50-100K ARMED and TRAINED bad guys waiting in B-H for the go signal, with a similar number already in CONUS and Central America. All the major European capitals have developed huge Muslim populations over the past 15 years, as has the US. In addition, the #1 AQ base in the western hemisphere is in the 3 borders area of Brazil, Paraguay, and Argentina. Did you know that the largest group of illegals entering the US are not Mexican, or even Central American... they from... Brazil.

So, if I were a bad guy, I'd arrange for all my counter-proxies to take the heat off me that would ultimately result from my operation, by providing them with the opportunity to launch some ops of their own, by putting the US on the ropes.

You see, every one needs for the US military to be stretched thin, and for a combined 'opportunity' to occur that will be sufficient to require America to blink, to be incapable of responding for a time. I believe that in that instant, while we're down, their will be an unprecedented opportunity for a worldwide geopolitical readjustment to occur.

Subsequently, the remaining Muslims will continue their jihad against the West, both here and in Europe. Fighting in the streets. Every town in the US and Europe will be facing the same fighting that we've seen in Baghdad for two years. Beginning to see why Bush didn't re-enact the auto weapons ban??

With Pak gone, so goes the Islamic threat and force in the Eastern Middle East. It will be up to the Central Arab countries to keep the fight going, and they will only be able to attack Africa, Europe and America. The Muslims in SE Asia are still too disorganized as operational forces to be much of a threat, although I believe that SEA is where a lot of the worldwide operational planning likely occurs, along with Pak, Iran, Brazil.

Eventually, the Sino-Soviet forces (read your Bible, here) will descend for a mopping up operation, getting rid of both the Muslims and the Westerners together.

If it plays out like this, should be quite a show. The US and European allies will be forced to fight an asymmetric war on our own soil, with most of our armed forces committed overseas. The only flaw I see is that which both Churchhill and Stalin each said in their own way of Hitler's undoing... "He underestimates what the American's are willing to do in order to win, once they have been forced by common circumstances to come together for a purpose." Our ace in the whole. We'll eventually unite, but it will cost us a lot to get to that point... The price of being a 'democracy' I guess.

sub6


3,167 posted on 08/02/2005 9:23:37 PM PDT by subsea06 (Locked, cocked, and ready to rock! T-minus and counting...)
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To: subsea06

Excellent analysis subsea06. Thank you.


3,173 posted on 08/02/2005 9:36:26 PM PDT by Oorang ( A great deal of talent is lost to the world for want of a little courage. -Goethe)
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