[FrogMom]

Look again.

She's the fave to win the Dem nomination.

The Dems are favored to win the presidential election.

Ergo.

[inquest]

If there's an over 50% chance of her winning the nomination, and an over 50% chance of the Democrats winning the election, it still doesn't necessarily follow that there's an over 50% chance of her winning the election. You have to combine probabilities.

[BCrago66]

Your original startment was not an inferential argument, but the assertion that:

"If you go down to political, it also shows Hitlery as the favorite to win the 2008 election, too."

That is flat out false (as Hillary is only listed as the favorite to win the Dem nomination) and you should admit it before you go on to make a second, inferential argument.

As to your inferential argument, it is faulty:

A will likely beat B
+
B will likely beat C
DOES NOT EQUAL
A will likely beat C

ERGO, so far you're 0 for 2.