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I think the Paki-Afghan warlords are motivated by roughly equal parts of a) money; and b) ideology. With the continued growth of a stable, non-dictatorial government in Iraq, matched by the continual losses of the "insurgents" there, we have the slow drip, drip, drip of adherence to UBL-type ideology.

Eventually, more and more Muslims will start to believe that Allah is not with UBL or Al-Quaida after all. When that starts to happen, watch for the warlords to be amenable to bribes to turn him over. It'll be very quick after that.

"dealing with sanctuaries in sovereign states, you're dealing with a problem of our sense of international obligation, fair play."

Kind of says it all.

I think the Paki-Afghan warlords are motivated by roughly equal parts of a) money; and b) ideology. With the continued growth of a stable, non-dictatorial government in Iraq, matched by the continual losses of the "insurgents" there, we have the slow drip, drip, drip of adherence to UBL-type ideology.

Eventually, more and more Muslims will start to believe that Allah is not with UBL or Al-Quaida after all. When that starts to happen, watch for the warlords to be amenable to bribes to turn him over. It'll be very quick after that.

Agree with most of your overall sentiment here - Though, the warlords of the Pakistan border region are much more devoted to ideology than money (money is a distant second, in that they already have the money they need for their continued lifestyles).

But I do agree with you as freedom and self-worth spread throughout the Middle East this will begin to touch home in Pakistan as well - Once this begins to happen if UBL is still on the loose his days will be even that much more numbered.

It will definitely be interesting to see how his capture / killing plays out - An American Op based off "gathered Intel" or does one of the Pakistan warlords finally turn over on him?

Though, I do not suspect UBL is hiding under the house protection of one of these warlords (unless it is from a long time past associate / friend) - I more suspect he is simply ekking out a survival within this border region and the warlords are giving him a free pass (and of course providing assistance when he calls for it via human mules)