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To: JohnnyZ
I'm going to go out on a limb and predict:
1. Brinkman - He gets most of the gun vote and the anti-tax vote, and a lot of the small l libertarian vote. Momentum is on his side with a late surge from club for growth. His only real campaign weakness is lack of cash, but club for growth helped him out in a major way. It'll be close, but I think he'll win with about 28%.

2. Schmidt - I think she'll get a lot of the pro-life vote, but the tax issue does her in. She was probably the leader for most of the race, but peaked momentum wise early. Being the only woman in the race helps some, but not enough with her tax votes.

3. DeWine - He'll get the casual voter's vote, but is a much stronger general election guy than a primary. Dad's fillibuster deal and gun grabs, along with his own family problems will sink him. It takes more than just money to win.

4. Bob McEwen - The check bouncing scandal and carpetbagging will leave a sour taste in the mouths of a lot of people. Is it long enough ago where people are ready to forgive? Also, much of his support is topheavy from Washington(Dobson, etc). He's no RINO however.

5. Eric Minamyer - This guy is the toughest to predict. I hear he's been working extremely hard in his campaign. He may surprise some people.

Then the rest of the pack.

5 posted on 06/14/2005 8:50:24 AM PDT by Dan from Michigan (June 14 - Defeat DeWine - Vote Tom Brinkman for Congress (OH-2) - http://www.gobrinkman.com)
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To: Dan from Michigan

1. Brinkman - late surge, last minute help from Club for Growth, and DeWine and McEwen tearing each other down outweighs the late negative attacks on Brinkman

2. McEwen - peaked a week ago, then fell as voters learned he's a check-bouncer and carpetbagger

3. DeWine - his campaign has collapsed

4. Schmidt - her campaign never got going and late ads made sure voters knew about her horrific record on taxes

5. Minamyer - late start and low name ID has him finishing last among the serious candidates
6. Bemmes
7. Fossett
8. Smith
9. Mink
10. Morgan
11. Austin


6 posted on 06/14/2005 10:05:52 AM PDT by conservative_2001 (Tom Brinkman for Congress - Ohio 2nd CD)
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To: Dan from Michigan
Yeah, I too noticed Minamyer's candidacy made a few waves.

I'm gonna have to go with

1. DeWine
2. Schmidt
3. Brinkman
4. McEwen

Why? Why not? What the hell do I know?

7 posted on 06/14/2005 10:08:01 AM PDT by JohnnyZ (Defeat Pat DeWine, RINO Mike DeWine's son! Tom Brinkman for Congress http://www.gobrinkman.com/)
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