Posted on 06/06/2005 7:21:27 PM PDT by infocats
If oil is 8 dollars a barrel, what will the demand curve look like?
Does it drop off enough to undo the loss of 50 percent of the refining for three weeks, Houston shipping channel collision?
If oil is 8 dollars a gallon can public transit absorb the increased demand?
IMHO if gas is 8 bucks then bikes busses and feet will become very popular. So it is unrealistic that the crisis would last a year, maybe three months. If we went car free for a day the oil companies would choke on the surplus gas.
Very true, and the biggesy hole in the scenario. If we only lost 1 million barrels per day, and then 2 more when the Saudis were hit, you've got a 3 million shortfall. The SPR could cover 33 weeks of that entire shortfall if neccessary, plenty of time to restore the LA port and secure replacement crude.
Well, that's the second time I've been falsely accused in this thread. I hope you're as gracious to apologize as the last person was. I did not express ANY opinion for you to appreciate or not regarding the production value. So you can take your little urination simile and park it somewhere else. A little more discernment might be warranted in the future before attempting to belittle someone, it just makes you look ignorant.
That's why a lot of these made-for-TV movies are dopey: not only are the actors and F/X B-grade, but the writing and fact-checking is too.
In the first instance, this was a fictionalized docudrama and clearly portrayed as such.
In the second instance, the SPR was mentioned but at current rates of consumption, would only have carried us through about a month.
This was a far better review (and complete with pix too!) than mine. What really pisses me off is that I did a search using "Oil Storm" as the criteria...and nothing showed up so I posted.
And Pearl Harbor wouldn't happen, the Titanic couldn't happen, and who ever considered 9/11 a remote possibility? Who's to say what could or couldn't happen...but regardless, the concept makes for interesting speculation...and entertaining viewing.
Should a scenario similar to "Oil Storm" happen, it will affect everyone, not just the left or right...so I'm not sure what political spin has to do with the price of tea in China.
In any event, you are correct in being critical of the film's approach toward solving the crisis; I would have approached it somewhat differently myself.
Outrage? This is a message forum, I don't get outraged (at least not here), and you are, no doubt (by your use of caps) projecting yours.
What is it about fictionalized docudrama that people on FR don't get? The production was speculative and meant to both provocative and entertaining, although apparently not to you.
Clearly from most of the responses to my posting, many on FR have a hidden agenda, get incensed that anyone would dare suggest that resources on a finite planet are not unlimited, and are entitled to live either in their utter denial or blissful ignorance, while resorting to claims of bad scripting or pacing.
It was a crap mockumentary...clearly taking smacks at President Bush. It also left questions unanswered, like why the heck we haven't been drilling more in the US, ANWR, off the coasts of NCarolina, Californika, Floriduh etc.
Trash TV and overhyped drivel, the American people wouldn't behave as shown in this horrible show.
so there...
G
How about 'crapbath'?
You raise some interesting points but they are hard to adequately address without a total rewrite of the script.
IMHO, your most interesting point was the effect of market forces on the price of gas. We know from everyday experience that "bad news" tends to drive prices up very quickly while "good news" often doesn't ellicit a similar (although opposite) effect. If prices do in fact fall, there is usually a long time lag while middlemen seek to reap the rewards of these price differentials.
Additionally, zero demand (as in the film) would cause production costs to go up because economies of scale couldn't be achieved. In a perfect world, zero consumption could only make the price fall just so far before it would no longer pay to refine oil at all. At that point, black marketeers would probably step in (as in prohibition) with a clearly inferior product at perhaps even more inflated prices as in cocaine production where producers only get pennies on each dollar of the final retail dollar.
I was able to watch the entire first two and a half minutes. That was as far as I could go before I hit stop and delete on my DVR.
Something about it just screamed leftist agitprop.
Paul
You appear intent to question my posting of things other people posted, not me. So in addition to not being gracious you also don't seem to be too bright.
The simile is valid, you veil your critique in a question while avoiding any original thought, enjoy the offense and I'll grab the umbrella for my leg.
I'll state it once more in case you're just dense and not full blown stupid. I did not make any critique, I commented on a post someone made to another poster who made a critique. It appears that facts don't impact your world, if so don't bother to respond to this, I don't want to waste any more time with you one way or the other.
I saw it. Leftist wet dream trash.
Why are you so sensitive about criticism of this claptrap?
Were you one of the "writers" ?
Were you one of the "writers" ?
No, I wasn't one of the writers...nor did I have any connection whatsoever with either the film's production, or FX T.V.
If I am a bit sensitive, it is only because I find it stunning that so many on this forum have either closed minds, have made up their mind before the fact, or just don't bother to think for themselves but are content to be party line puppets.
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