Traditionally, you're exactly right. But I believe things are changing - due to new media.
Also, we are in the failed-liberal stage of the 30-year cycle (by analogy, it's 1975 and Bush represents Ford or Nixon). That means we have about 5 more years of desperate times, to be followed by a decade of Reagan-like conservatism. Or so the theory says.
yeah but does that mean Hillary would win in 08?