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I think you may be right, in that McCain sees this as his best presidential bid. Who are the Democrats going to run against him?

HRC - as much as she wants it she will be creamed by McCain. Hes male, hes a former POW, he doesn't scare their middle.

Barack Obama - Hes a minority and this country will not elect a minority citizen President for the next two election cycles, he has not served in the military, while he inspires the DemocraticUnderground he does not inspire the middle.

The major part of the great outpouring of Democrats last election was to defeat the evil Bush. Anybody but Bush was a rallying cry. That wont work this time around. Count on 10% - 15% of the Democrats who voted last election to stay home

Lets now look at it from the Republican side.

As so many of the posters on this and other threads have stated the Senate Majority leader has been neutered by this deal.

Dr. Rice -- she is female, see above about minority citizens, she doesn't really want it.

Rudy - here is where McCain runs into problems, Rudy is not pro-life and that will endear him to the middle of both parties, think Rudy think 9/11.

So what is McCain going to do? He pulls a Ross Perot and runs as an independent. Both of the middles flock to him. He will make points with the Republicans for going with the nuclear option for a SC nominee (and if said SC nominee is a minority so much the better for McCain). This will not be enough to get him the Republican nomination but it will dampen the fire against him by whoever the nominee is. The hard core left hates him, however the middle trusts him (he kept the senate functioning, hes an honorable man, hes independent).

By splitting the middles of both parties away from the party and gathering them to him(as an independent) he wins. There is not a Bill Clinton waiting to take advantage of this. HRC will be campaigning in the primaries for all she is worth.