[Cboldt]

I believe that the Rats will vote against cloture to force Frist to change the rule thus making it an issue. They really running short of issues.

I hope you are right. I gave my guess as to odds of certain outcomes a few days ago ...

Posted by Cboldt to Semper Paratus - 05/19/2005 9:31:57 AM EDT · 144 of 3,737

I put the odds at 0% that the Owen nomination will proceeed to anything but an up or down vote.

I put the odds at 50% that the DEMs will provide unanimous consent (no nuclear trigger) to take the vote on the nomination of Owen.

If the nuclear trigger is pulled (by the DEMs, who control it), I put the odds at less than 10% that the Senate will agree to let a minority of Senators table/scuttle/kill nominees as a matter of routine. I.e., there is a greater than 90% chance the nuclear option would be successfully implemented.

I put odds at 100% that DEM and GOP Senators will trade votes on nominees and all sorts of other stuff. They do that all the time, now. There is no way to stop it.

[ShowMeMom]

Your scenario is probably based much more on logic than is mine. Mine is predicated on the firm belief that the Rats are really stupid and let themselves be maneuvered into this corner by being out witted by First, Bush and Rove.