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To: nickcarraway
Many economists believe that in spite of the unexpectedly large rise in job creation of 274,000

That wasn't a rise in job creation. I was a rise in modeling job creation.

Over 90% of this increase is due to the Birth/Death Model.

CES Net Birth/Death Model

4 posted on 05/10/2005 2:47:44 PM PDT by AdamSelene235 (Truth has become so rare and precious she is always attended to by a bodyguard of lies.)
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To: AdamSelene235

I don't believe you understand the Net Birth/Death Model.

The 257k added by the Model is not just lobbed onto the seasonally adjusted payroll increase that was 274k in April, it is figured in the non-seasonally adjusted increase in payrolls, which was over 1.1 million in April.


9 posted on 05/10/2005 2:53:32 PM PDT by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: AdamSelene235
Over 90% of this increase is due to the Birth/Death Model.

The birth/death model also shows an increase of 400k jobs in January. Not a good indicator. The number is what it is.

14 posted on 05/10/2005 2:56:32 PM PDT by groanup (http://fairtax.org)
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To: AdamSelene235; nickcarraway
Over 90% of this increase is due to the Birth/Death Model.

And modeling the birth/death of businesses doesn't accurately measure job creation/loss?

36 posted on 05/10/2005 3:46:43 PM PDT by Toddsterpatriot (If you agree with Karl Marx, the AFL-CIO and E.P.I. please stop calling yourself a conservative!!)
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