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To: Kelly_2000
Good God do you understand what that means? even Ebola Zaire is not that virulent. Please I have to see this with my own eyes do you have a source for those figures?

Yeah, kind of gets your attention, doesn't it??

We do not have access to raw data on these threads, because we only can find the "reported" data from the WHO and the Angolan Health Ministry. They report only summary data.

Therefore, I cannot provide the raw data (listing by individual patient and outcome) that you require. I apologize.

The details of this mortality (i.e. 100% except for 1 case) was determined from the summary data. Several of the reports indicated that the survival rate was zero. The historical listing by EBH lists the threads, but I do not remember specifically where the reports are. However, I note that in this community (FReepers discussing Marburg), we had inferred this quite some time ago. Indeed, I was directed toward a listing of the standard epidemiological equations, and was able to simplify and re-derive them because of the 100% mortality boundary condition.

44 posted on 05/04/2005 10:57:15 AM PDT by 2ndreconmarine
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To: 2ndreconmarine
"Yeah, kind of gets your attention, doesn't it??",p> I completely got my attention, I wish I was working in a different field now :-)

"We do not have access to raw data on these threads, because we only can find the "reported" data from the WHO and the Angolan Health Ministry. They report only summary data. "

I have a colleague who works with the CDC and WHO in this area of VHF. I will meet him today and see if he doesn't mind sending me his excel files containing the raw data. He is also an expert quantitative analyst. I suspect there will be pivot tables involved, if you like and there is no issue with providing third parties with this information, I will send the data in a spreadsheet. I suspect that may be a problem him even providing them to me. I have similar restrictions on data security for my influenza results when we send those to WHO and the CDC. until WHO and CDC make them public domain as a PDF we are usually unable to distribute the data.

46 posted on 05/04/2005 11:11:08 AM PDT by Kelly_2000
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