"So what we do when we meet people who have had contact is we check their temperature twice a day and monitor them closely and if then if they become a probable case, i.e. start having some of the more violent symptoms, then we isolate them."
And at what point during the 10 day incubation does an individual become infectious with this new variant? It makes no sense to isolate them *after* they have become a "probable case". Those who have had contact should be isolated for at least 10 days until they have cleared the incubation period.
Tonight on Coast to Coast AM:
First Half-Hour: Dr. Henry Niman of Recombinomics will speak about emerging pandemic signals.
Ebola and Marburg both have early symptoms that could be any number of diseases--malaria, flu, typhoid, etc.
Rash doesn't appear until a few days after symptoms begin. So people could be shedding virus, sick, and be treated for something else (what if they already have malaria?)
I think that they don't even CHECK for Marburg, unless the patient has the hemorrhagic symptoms--and people with Ebola or Marburg don't always have the hemorrhagic symptoms--they can die without hemorrhaging.
So, I think that means there's a whole lot of Marburg going on...
Incidently, I've read in a number of places that it is not thought that Marburg can be infectious before symptoms begin. Although I wonder about that (seriously), that's the best information available, and we have to go by that.