It's not a secret ballot? I don't know if it is or not, but considering they use paper ballots, I always assumed it was secret.
I believe it is a secret ballot. This speculation about wanting to be on Ratzinger's good side is therefore beside the point.
Probably the reason for the leaks is a desire to strengthen the new pope.
The picture of the unhappy cardinals is very telling. I have to think that a substantial number of the College didn't want Ratzinger, whatever the ultimate vote was.
It's not clear to me how much fear there is of the new pope. The picture is one example of dissent. Another is the fact that Cardinal Daneels, rather than eat with the pope, called a press conference.