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To: el_doctor2

The GOP has to worry most about Pennsylvania with a phony moderate challenging Santorum. He's one of those 'socially conservative, pro-life' Democrats who will do nothing to try and stop the judiciary from imposing a far-left social/cultural agenda on the entire nation.

If Gov Warner of Va decides to challenge Senator Allen, then it could be close. Hopefully that still-conservative state will not the same risk on a federal level that they took for the state.

Is Rossi in danger of hurting his image in Washington if he keeps fighting the governor's race? Sure, he was cheated, but is there anything he can do about it now? If he can beat Cantwell, then maybe Washington's loss will be the nation's gain.

Michigan: The GOP has failed to get their top two choices to run, and I haven't heard a peep about Engler running. It'd be great if he did though.

North Dakota: Depends on whether or not Governor Hoeven challenges Kent Conrad. That would be a great pick up, and finally give the GOP at least parity from the Senatorial delegation from the very red Dakotas.

Florida: No frontrunner yet. Has Katherine Harris made up her mind? I don't know about her with all that 2000 baggage.

Nebraska: Again, I've not heard of any of the potentially strongest challengers stepping up. Picking this seat up would be great in that Nebraska is very red, and that it brings the GOP that much closer to a filibuster-proof majority, but Nelson does at least cross over and vote the values of his state sometimes. So it wouldn't be as sweet as say, North Dakota.

New Jersey: The son of the former gov Kaine (???) who led the 9-11 commission has entered the race. You'd have to think the state natually favors a Dem though.

Maryland: Same as New Jersey with regards to natural preference, but if the state's Lt Governor runs then the GOP might have a shot.

Minnesota: I've heard good thins about Rep Kennedy. Hopefully he can win this open seat.

Wisconsin: Unfortunately former Governor Tommy Thompson is apparently not going to run.

Montana: Former Governor Racicot could have beaten Sen Baucas 6 yrs ago, but he understandably wanted to make some money for his family in the private sector. Six years later I haven't heard any rumblings of a change of heart, nor have I heard of another good challenger unless the state's most recent former governor decides to run.

New York: Giuliani could probably beat Hillary. He'd at least make it close and make the Dems spend money there (GOP too of course), but apparently he's not interested. Pataki will probably want to spare himself the embarrasment of losing to this carpetbagger.

Rhode Island: I think Chaffee has been lucky in that the top Dem contender has decided not to run, but you know this guy would pull a Jeffords if the balance ever got back down to 50-50. Still, as of now, he at least caucases with his party and as such is better than a Dem who would vote the same way as Chafee on all other matters.

Tennessee: Frist would be a shoe-in, but still the GOP nominee should have the advantage. Anyone know who the favorite is, or his likely opponent?


7 posted on 04/16/2005 12:45:27 PM PDT by Aetius
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To: Aetius
Baucus isn't up for election until 2008 in Montana, and yes, Racicot should have challenged him. Even if he had lost, Baucus would have had to expend his very large war chest to win, and wouldn't have been able to direct all his efforts to winning the State Legislature and the Governorship for the Dems in 2004.

It is Conrad Burns, the GOP guy, who is up for election. He had a very tough race last time, but I don't think any Dem of note is lining up to run against him this cycle. Still, sorry to say, Montana is trending Democrat, unless the GOP in that state gets its act together. This is a chronic story for all of these "safe red states" -- overconfidence on the part of the GOP, and an unwillingness to work hard. Thune showed the way, but there is a lot of following to be done, including in Thune's own state of SD, which still has a Dem Senator and Rep.

11 posted on 04/16/2005 12:53:28 PM PDT by Agrarian
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