[Covenantor]

I also believe that the Angolan government is behind the confusion with the reported numbers of deceased and infected. With the deaths of the 17? medical workers I think that their resource were very nearly wiped out in the province. On one of the med-boards I saw an isolated quote approx. April 3 or 4 that an Angolan official said the outbreak had peaked. Now whether that was from ignorance or not not...

As much as I have been able to glean these are the med groups involved:

WHO (are these actually Drs or just pols?)

Medicins sans frontieres

CDC team

and a reported South Africa specialist on the way

[Dog Gone]

It seems as if the numbers of dead and infected are increasing by about 3% per day which doesn't suggest that it's peaked. In fact, if you extrapolate that out for a few months you start getting some pretty ugly numbers.

I see a lot of complaints about the media numbers and the way WHO is counting, but Angola is not a great place to operate. It's a place that has a 25% child mortality rate even before this outbreak. It's a place where you die from a lot of nasty things. Malaria has already killed more people this year there than Marburg has.

People have already learned that taking a relative to the hospital means never seeing them again. The official numbers, using confirmed tests, are obviously going to be undercounts. I'd rather have that than overcounts. We can still judge the trend using media and WHO reports.