Niether of us were on the mark. An I believe I did say that Kerry could win or it would be close.
You said: "I believe it will be Kerry in a squeeker. [sic]" and "I believe Kerry will prevail." See http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1094279/posts?page=155#155
Also see your absurd post #24 on that thread, which was what I reacted to in the first place: "...this election is slipping out of Bush's hands...we are in big trouble. Kerry is running a sharp campaign...the flip flop issues do not matter. Kerry is out kicking ass and his campaign is going somewhere...Bush is not running an effective campaign, it is time to face it. Whatever one thinks of polls, he is behind in every one...It is not going well and we need to stop rationalizing it away."
So you can say "neither of us were on the mark" if you like, but actually you were dead wrong on the outcome AND the analysis; I was a percent off on the tally — and this prediction was made MARCH 15, before any political analysts were making any specific calls whatsoever — but you could have taken my analysis to the bank. I was badly off on the electoral college, but overall, any bettor would pick my position, not yours, if he or she wants the money.
Rule of thumb: doom and gloom on Republican prospects based on polls and media reports is almost never justified.
Unless, of course, we're talking Bob Dole.