"The most likely is a Cardinal we have never heard of before, an Italian of almost 80 years of age."
It wouldn't be the first time that an elderly Pope was elected as a short-term measure.
Another possibility is that they will look to someone who is more administrator than visionary, in order to clean the administrative house. I don't think that John Paul will go down in history as a natural administrator, and certainly in his last 10 years he wasn't healthy enough to take total control.
Among the issues on the table is are the lingering accusations of sexual misconduct of priests all over the world, which will require a great deal of time to clean up.
I agree, for whatever that is worth.