It's highly probable that both things are true.
All the more so in such a society where serious secrets are routinely kept by individuals, families and tribal groups.
And, you have evidently not read the FREEPER'S POST who has relatives and friends working in such spheres--who asserts that the numbers are conservative.
. . . . post #196:
I have friends and relatives on the ground doing this work. The numbners are conservative.
So, with at least a near first hand report, the numbers are verified as conservative.
I have 0% problem believing that.
Quix, if this is true--and I have no reason to doubt your word, just the, ummm, strain on my credulity--that is fantastic news, a miracle.