Oops!!!Abulafia ain't Paki or Arab-he's Richard Aboulafia,an analyst at Teal Group.Can't these guys get more sensible sounding names???????
http://www.richardaboulafia.com/
PS-A casual look at his work seems to confirm that he belongs to the Coldwar Genre of experts who see things in pure black & white-so I wouldn't take him too seriously.