1. I have heard that the proposed constitution trails in opinion polling in the UK, but that most are undecided. Is there a significant chance UK voters will approve it?
2. Are there any other countries where it is likely to fail?
3. In that past, when referendums haven't gone the EU's way, they've just held them again until they get the result they want. If the UK votes no, what happens? Does the superstate proceed without the UK? Do they just try again? Does the integration process stop?
No one knows the answers for sure, but I would be interested to hear what people think.
I think chances are slim - not only are the Tories opposed, but the far left is too, they regard it as some sort of capitalist dodge. My response is, "Um, whatever you say, comrade."
Are there any other countries where it is likely to fail?
Poland and Denmark. Maybe Sweden.
In that past, when referendums haven't gone the EU's way, they've just held them again until they get the result they want. If the UK votes no, what happens? Does the superstate proceed without the UK? Do they just try again? Does the integration process stop?
Back to ye olde drawing board, probably. Even the left-leaning Economist had a cover saying, "What to do with the European Constitution" and showing a rubbish bin. Another alternative is that a "two speed Europe" develops, with a core of states, like France and Germany, that decide to integrate further, leaving us out of it. Which suits me.
Regards, Ivan