Larry Cosgrove is an EXCELLENT meteorologist, especially in winter situations. He posted a map and thoughts yesterday that appear as if they may be right on. He was one of the first to pick up on the historic possibilities of this storm.
http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?showtopic=23216
URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC
218 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2005
DCZ001-MDZ002>007-009>011-013-014-016>018-VAZ021-025>031-036>042-
050>057-WVZ048>055-280400-
ALBEMARLE VA-ALLEGANY MD-ANNE ARUNDEL MD-
ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA VA-AUGUSTA VA-BERKELEY WV-
CALVERT MD-CARROLL MD-CHARLES MD-CLARKE VA-CULPEPER VA-
DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA DC-FAIRFAX VA-FAUQUIER VA-FREDERICK VA-
FREDERICK MD-GRANT WV-GREENE VA-HAMPSHIRE WV-HARDY WV-HARFORD MD-
HIGHLAND VA-HOWARD MD-JEFFERSON WV-KING GEORGE VA-LOUDOUN VA-
MADISON VA-MINERAL WV-MONTGOMERY MD-MORGAN WV-NELSON VA-
NORTHERN BALTIMORE MD-ORANGE VA-PAGE VA-PENDLETON WV-
PRINCE GEORGES MD-PRINCE WILLIAM/MANASSAS/MANASSAS PARK VA-
RAPPAHANNOCK VA-ROCKINGHAM VA-SHENANDOAH VA-SOUTHERN BALTIMORE MD-
SPOTSYLVANIA VA-ST. MARYS MD-STAFFORD VA-WARREN VA-WASHINGTON MD-
218 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2005
...HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM MONDAY TO 1 AM EST
TUESDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
SNOW WARNING FOR NORTHERN VIRGINIA...CENTRAL AND WESTERN MARYLAND
THE EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA PANHANDLE AND THE DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA
FROM 100 AM MONDAY THROUGH 100 AM TUESDAY.
LOW PRESSURE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST TO THE SOUTH CAROLINA COAST OVERNIGHT TONIGHT. THE STORM
SYSTEM WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO THE NORTHEAST NEAR THE DELMARVA
PENINSULA BY MONDAY EVENING.
SNOW IS EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE TONIGHT IN THE CENTRAL SHENANDOAH
VALLEY AND FOOTHILLS...EVENTUALLY REACHING AREAS NEAR THE
PENNSYLVANIA BORDER BY SUNRISE.
THE SNOW IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HEAVY AT TIMES BY MID MORNING. AT
THIS TIME...THE HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED TO FALL BETWEEN 1000 AM
AND 600 PM MONDAY.
THE SNOW MAY MIX BRIEFLY WITH RAIN OVER FAR SOUTHERN MARYLAND DURING
THE DAY MONDAY.
BY LATE TOMORROW EVENING...AREAS WEST OF THE BLUE RIDGE ARE EXPECTED
TO SEE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF SNOWFALL. EAST OF THE BLUE RIDGE INCLUDING
THE BALTIMORE AND WASHINGTON METROPOLITAN AREAS...6 TO 10 INCHES OF
SNOWFALL IS EXPECTED.
THERE IS STILL SOME UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE EXACT TRACK OF THIS STORM
SYSTEM. A SMALL SHIFT IN THE TRACK OF THIS STORM CAN YIELD LARGE
DIFFERENCES IN SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS.
STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL MEDIA FOR THE LATEST
INFORMATION ON THIS WINTER WEATHER EVENT. THE NEXT STATEMENT WILL BE
ISSUED AROUND 1100 PM.
$$
MANNING
Yes, I saw that map and discussion. I love the passion he brings to briefing the weather.
Has our friend Walter Drag weighed in?