[nwctwx]

The models seem to be underestimating precipitation a bit towards the later hours.

[xcamel]

That's my feeling too. Strangely enough, the model I use the least seems to have the "maximum likelihood" across the board.

I don't want to be "chicken little" and say "Geez, Grandma.. Looks like 20 inches by the feelin in these old bones"