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Major East Coast Storm Gets Underway
Eastern US Weather Forums ^ | Various: NWS/HPC/NOAA

Posted on 02/27/2005 11:13:44 AM PST by nwctwx

A major to possibly historic snowstorm is now forming in the Gulf of Mexico. This storm will track northeast along the East Coast Monday and Tuesday bringing very heavy snow and near blizzard conditions to many. The exact track is still uncertain at this time, but the big cities along the megalopolis could be in for a very large event. I put together a few maps to track the system, and will add more shortly.


National Warning Map


Clickable Map Here

Current East Coast NEXRAD Radar Composite


National Radar Loop

National Radar Summary

U.S. Surface Pressure Map and Radar Overlay

NWS HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL PREDICTION CENTER CAMP SPRINGS MD
132 PM EST SUN FEB 27 2005
QPF DISCUSSION

...ERN STATES...

WILL KEEP THIS SHORT AND SWEET. FOR THE MOST PART THE MANUAL
DAY1 QPF OVR THE ERN U.S. STRONGLY REFLECTS THE GFS MODEL. THIS
MODEL HAS GOOD CONTINUITY NOW FOR THE PAST FEW MODEL RUNS AS
OPPOSED TO THE NAM WHICH HAS BEEN ERRATIC AND FOR THE MOST PART
WRONG WITH ITS SCENARIO. THAT BEING SAID THE CURRENT GFS IN THE
EARLY PART OF ITS 1200 UTC FCST CYCLE DOES NOT HAVE A GOOD HANDLE
ON THE DEPTH OF THE GULF LO. TO WHAT EXTENT THIS WILL IMPACT ITS
FCST IS UNCERTAIN. ITS FARTHER WEST SFC LO SOLUTION AS COMPARED
TO THE UKMET AND THE ECMWF ALSO DOES NOT LEND SUPPORT TO A
HIGHLY CONFIDENCE FCST. IN ANY CASE...USED THE GFS FOR THE TIMING
OF THE PCPN ASOCTD WITH THIS SYSTEM WHICH HAS TRENDED SLOER FM
PREVIOUS RUNS. THE ONLY CORRECTION MADE TO THE GFS...WHICH IS
IMPORTANT FOR SNOW LOVERS...IS THE ADDITION TO ITS QPF ON THE NW
SIDE OF ITS PCPN SHIELD. BELIEVE ITS CURRENT FCST DOES NOT STGLY
REFLECT THE TRACK OF THE MID/UPPER LVL CNTR AS DEPICTED BY ITS OWN
MASS FIELD FCSTS. LATEST STLT AND RADAR ALREADY INDCS THAT IT HAS
MISSED THE PCPN DVLPNG OVR THE UPPER TN VLY TO THE NORTH OF THE
MID LVL CIRC AND SUSPECT THIS COULD CONTINUE. PLEASE SEE LATEST
WINTER WEATHER PRODUCTS FOR FURTHER INFO CONCERNING FROZEN
PCPN.


For more information, including thoughts from nationally known meteorologists visit:
Eastern United States Weather Forums



TOPICS: News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: notthissleetagain; storm; weather; wereallgonnadie; winter
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To: lainie

LOL!


301 posted on 02/28/2005 1:30:54 AM PST by bd476 ("You can't get there from here." from "Which Way to Millinocket?" Bert & I)
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To: Dat Mon
Gary?...hell Ill get Ann to 'correct'you dude

Rule #1: When mentioning Ann, you must post pics...


302 posted on 02/28/2005 1:41:42 AM PST by pageonetoo (You'll spot their posts soon enough!)
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To: bd476

6+ inches here.


303 posted on 02/28/2005 1:42:18 AM PST by Lurking2Long
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To: ngc6656; ncpatriot

At 4:41 am, it is doing NOTHING, i'm glad to report, in Martinsburg, WV...YET!


304 posted on 02/28/2005 1:44:23 AM PST by pageonetoo (You'll spot their posts soon enough!)
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To: Dat Mon
where the hell are you these days?

east lansdowne, right near fernwood cemetery. nice place, but if the dead wake up and start looking for brains, I'm basically first in line.

305 posted on 02/28/2005 3:12:26 AM PST by Libertarian4Bush
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To: ngc6656
Seven inches so far. Wet, and is weighing down trees. (It's six in morning now)

Later

306 posted on 02/28/2005 3:16:23 AM PST by ncpatriot
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To: ncpatriot
Seven inches so far. Wet, and is weighing down trees. (It's six in morning now)

Thanks for the update. There's two to three inches here, depending on the surface it's measured on. At 6:45 a.m. it is no longer snowing. Intellicast's regional radar summary doesn't seem to promise much more snow at this time.

307 posted on 02/28/2005 3:58:01 AM PST by ngc6656
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To: Nick Danger
half the people walking by are libertarians. How 'bout if I get one of them for ya?

Would a libertarian know if they were hit by a snowball?

308 posted on 02/28/2005 4:29:35 AM PST by NautiNurse (Osama bin Laden has more tapes than Steely Dan)
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To: ngc6656
I'll be here peeling potatoes.

Me, too. But, I have some clams to add. Start with a drizzle of olive oil, throw in some minced onion, and carmelize. Then start throwing in the potatoes, add spices and water... then simmering, while I look out the window and thanking God for intervening. Finish with cream, salt and pepper to taste!

We still have nothing hitting the grounding in Martinsburg, but schools are closed. I've been putzing since 4, so that I could keep the drive from piling up. Oh well, I'd rather be bored. Thanks to Adelphia Cable for their DVR service. I just got through watching yesterday's Nascar race, again... Gotta go, the cat is screaming at the door. The dog is still in bed with mama, and our teen daughter is hidden under four blankets, in her 70 degree room, probably not to be seen until noonish!


309 posted on 02/28/2005 4:39:32 AM PST by pageonetoo (You'll spot their posts soon enough!)
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To: pageonetoo
But, I have some clams to add. Start with a drizzle of olive oil, throw in some minced onion, and carmelize. Then start throwing in the potatoes, add spices and water... then simmering, while I look out the window and thanking God for intervening. Finish with cream, salt and pepper to taste!

Sounds good.

310 posted on 02/28/2005 5:15:21 AM PST by ngc6656
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To: NautiNurse

I think they would take it as a sign that they aren't in Hell. This would confuse them.

311 posted on 02/28/2005 5:59:29 AM PST by Nick Danger (The only way out is through)
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To: ngc6656
It's 10:30am and snow has stopped; temp is now above freezing. Snow on ground and trees is heavy, wet stuff - easy to walk on .

How are the taters?

312 posted on 02/28/2005 7:26:09 AM PST by ncpatriot
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To: ncpatriot
How are the taters?

I've been busy chasing that storm of historic proportions(where did it go?) and other things so I haven't made the potato soup. May wait until tomorrow for it is forecast to be a cold, blustery day.

Light snow continued here until noon, there was a short period with no precipitation, but now its is raining lightly.

313 posted on 02/28/2005 12:04:55 PM PST by ngc6656
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To: nwctwx
Once this thing is off Cape Cod it will look a bit like a hurricane... just awesome!

Maybe even before... check this satellite of the low off the NC/VA line... BEAUTY!


314 posted on 02/28/2005 12:09:02 PM PST by nwctwx
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To: ngc6656
I remember a few years ago, the forecasters said: "Just a couple of inches" - even when we had eight inches on the ground, they kept saying "It's going to stop. This is not a big storm". Well, it was a big storm.

This time, it was the opposite: the historic storm turned into a flop. Oh, well.

Now, it is spitting rain. The sun was out earlier.

315 posted on 02/28/2005 12:52:27 PM PST by ncpatriot
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To: nwctwx
Maybe even before... check this satellite of the low off the NC/VA line... BEAUTY!

It sure is.

316 posted on 02/28/2005 1:35:59 PM PST by ngc6656
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To: ngc6656

5-6" on the ground and we're in near white-out conditions, here in York, PA. 4:43pm time stamp.


317 posted on 02/28/2005 1:43:44 PM PST by 7.62 x 51mm (• Veni • Vidi • Vino • Visa • "I came, I saw, I drank wine, I shopped")
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To: ncpatriot
I remember a few years ago, the forecasters said: "Just a couple of inches" - even when we had eight inches on the ground, they kept saying "It's going to stop. This is not a big storm". Well, it was a big storm.

Was that the surprise storm that dumped on Mt. Mitchell some years ago?

As we saw in the post before yours, this storm center is just sitting off the coast. If it does head northeast, things could be bad, as nwctwx said.

318 posted on 02/28/2005 1:47:30 PM PST by ngc6656
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To: NautiNurse

Phooey! This snowstorm stinks. It doesn't have any snow. What good is a "historic" snowstorm without snow?


319 posted on 02/28/2005 2:40:21 PM PST by Nick Danger (The only way out is through)
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.


320 posted on 02/28/2005 2:45:33 PM PST by Semper911 (Those who wait also serve.)
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