[Cold Heat]

Nobody has said that these projections are accurate. Just that they indicate a real problem coming. The phrase used was multiples, because Medicare outlays are directly related to numbers of retired and disabled.

They are also directly related to medical costs.

So what are to trying to say, that they will go down? That medical costs will stop going up! That the number of aged will normalize and stop going up?

I fail to see how. This is simple math.

You are expecting what can only be called a miracle and are ignoring the demographics, the trends and the reality of a shift in the balance of young and old.

This is something that has been expected since shortly after WWII. It is now here.

[oldcomputerguy]

" So what are you trying to say, that they will go down? "

Actually I am saying exactly that. The history of technology in the US is that it has brought costs down drastically for virtually everything that used to be unaffordable. Medicine will be no different. It's costs will never go away but I envision medicine in the future to be fixing accident damage and not a great deal more. How long will that take, I cannot say but I suspect it will be in my children's lifetimes, probably the next 50 years.