Leaked Murphy Poll

politicsnj.com ^ | 2-11-05 | David Murray

[BATNF]

February 11, 2005

TO: John Murphy, Rich DeAngelis & Tim White

FROM: David Murray

RE: Murphy for Governor - February 09 Survey Results

NOTE: The following is for internal campaign use only

On February 9, Campaign Impact surveyed 330 most-likely-to-vote registered Republicans voters statewide. The results follow:

Ballot Test

Oct 9, 2004 Feb 9, 2005

Schundler 30% 23%

Forrester 18% 19%

Murphy 01% 12%

Favorable/Unfavorable

Schundler 51/16% 43/22%

Forrester 57/10% 49/15%

Murphy 09/04% 33/13%

As you can see, John’s favorable rating has increased more than 3.5 X and his ballot has increased 11 percentage points. It is now at 12%. It appears the campaign’s first wave of voter contact has achieved its goal. Murphy is solidly in third within striking distance of Doug Forrester.

Forrester’s ballot has not moved despite his massive voter contact investment on the “Conga Line” and Dan Rather. In fact, Forrester’s favorable rating is down by 8% with unfavorable up 5%. Republicans know Doug and generally seem to like him. However, they do not want to vote for him. It remains questionable as to whether current or future message investments by Forrester will significantly improve his position.

[BroncosFan]

The early ad push seems to be paying off. But I view the poll with some skepticism. That said, SOMEBODY has to emerge as #3. Schroeder is a joke and DiGaetano is a sleazey hack. I like Caliguire, but I think my firggin' name ID is higher. That leaves Murph. And his rise helps Bret because Bret's 22% is firmer than Doug's even though I think Doug might have more upside potential. Murph should cut the fireman nonsense though. Enough already.

[BATNF]

Well I think he still an active Fireman.

But, what about Lonegan.. Who has been given soo much free air time.. How come he hasnt caught on to be in 3rd?

[BroncosFan]

I know, but if he isn't careful it's going to look like he's alluding to 9/11 imagery in a rather unseemly fashion.