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Pat Buchanan: Let's hear conditions for exit
Miami Herald ^ | February 3, 2005 | Patrick J. Buchanan

Posted on 02/03/2005 5:15:36 PM PST by RWR8189

''We must recognize what a large and growing number of Iraqis now believe,'' said Sen. Ted Kennedy last week, that ``the war in Iraq has become a war against the American occupation.''

Even with the heroic and heartening election turnout, Kennedy is not entirely wrong. The insurgency has always been a war against the U.S. occupation and those Iraqis who cooperate with us. But the paradox that Kennedy fails to address is this: While the U.S. invasion and occupation precipitated the insurgency, it has grown to where only the U.S. military keeps it from seizing power. Should we withdraw now, there is a near certainty the insurgents in the Sunni Triangle would inherit the country.

Sunni insurrection

Here we come to the core conflict that the elections starkly reveal. This is not an Iraqi war against the United States. It is a Sunni insurrection, supported by foreign jihadists. Neither the Kurds, who owe their independence to us, nor the Shiites, who now stand to inherit the nation, are in rebellion. For not only did we depose the hated enemy of the Shiites and Kurds, Saddam Hussein, we dismantled his state, disbanded his army and put Iraq on the road to elections that

now point to an auto-

nomous Kurdistan

and a Shiite-dominated Iraq.

The Shiites believe that they are being compensated for having been abandoned in 1991, when George H.W. Bush urged them to rise up against Baghdad, but let them be slaughtered when Hussein sent his Revolutionary Guard to massacre the rebels. But the elections also leave the United States with a dilemma. While expelling us is the casus belli of the insurgency, it has taken on a life of its own. A year ago, Gen. John Abizaid said there were 5,000 fighters. He now estimates the number of enemy at 20,000, even though Gen. George Casey says we killed or captured 15,000 in the last year. The head of Iraqi intelligence puts the number of enemy at 30,000 or 40,000 fighters, supported by 200,000 people.

Military presence

U.S. generals dispute the latter numbers, but no one denies that the insurgents have augmented their ranks and increased the incidence and lethality of their attacks. Given our dilemma -- the U.S. military presence is the cause of the insurgency, but also the only barrier to its success -- the answer suggests itself: We must bring an end to our military presence, even as we build an indigenous force to replace it.

With the elections now completed, President Bush should lay down, for the Iraqis and the world, conditions for the withdrawal of U.S. forces and their replacement with Iraqi forces. Specifically, Bush should:

• Inform the new Iraqi assembly that the United States has no plans for any permanent U.S. military presence on Iraqi soil.

• Pledge continued U.S. aid in battling the resistance and rebuilding the country, as long as an elected government endures.

• Accelerate the training and equipping of Iraqi army forces, and the transfer to them of the duty to defend their own government.

• Announce an initial drawdown of U.S. forces, so Iraqis get the message that the defense of democracy in their own country is first and foremost their own duty, not ours. While we will aid them in their battle, its ultimate outcome will depend upon them.

The Iraqis must know that, in the not-too-distant future, their fate and future will be in their hands, not ours.

Find out now

The elections showed that a majority of Iraqis will vote for democracy. What has not yet been demonstrated is whether Iraqis will fight for it with the same determination as the insurgents are resisting it. Should Bush advance such a proposal, Iraqis would know that if the insurgents continued to fight -- even after the Americans were committed to leave and had begun to depart -- the insurgents' real goal is a return to power in Baghdad, by force. And if the Shiites (60 percent of the country) and Kurds (20 percent) plus the anti-Baathist Sunni are unwilling to fight a bloody restoration of Baathist tyranny, we need to find out now, before more U.S. blood is shed.

©2005 Creators Syndicate


TOPICS: Editorial; Foreign Affairs; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: antisemitism; bitterpaleos; buchanan; exitplan; exitstrategy; fortressamerica; goawaypatgoaway; iraq; iraqwar; itsthejoooos; kennedy; mugwump; paleos; patbuchanan; williegeen; withdrawl
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1 posted on 02/03/2005 5:15:37 PM PST by RWR8189
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To: RWR8189

Conditions for exit:

If you leave now, Pat, you can keep your foreign-made BMW.


2 posted on 02/03/2005 5:17:08 PM PST by KidGlock (W-1)
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To: jveritas; Howlin

Look what old Pat is up to now.


3 posted on 02/03/2005 5:17:48 PM PST by COEXERJ145
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To: KidGlock

I thought it was actually one of the most reasonable articles Pat has written on Iraq in quite awhile.


4 posted on 02/03/2005 5:18:06 PM PST by RWR8189 (Its Morning in America Again!)
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To: RWR8189; Poohbah; COEXERJ145; Howlin; PhiKapMom

It probably did sound reasonable... but what did it sound like in the original Arabic?


5 posted on 02/03/2005 5:20:20 PM PST by hchutch (A pro-artificial turf, pro-designated hitter baseball fan.)
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To: RWR8189
Hey, Pat. A U.S. airforce base in Iraq would be an excellent idea PERMANENTLY.

I know you believe only in Fortress America, but you isolationists are always on the losing side of American history.

Tell you what, if we like your ideas we'll elect you President.

6 posted on 02/03/2005 5:23:17 PM PST by Dog Gone
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To: RWR8189
The insurgency has always been a war against the U.S. occupation and those Iraqis who cooperate with us.

No Pat, the Saddamites and Islamofascists have ALWAYS been against the liberation of Iraq. It's not a friggin' *occupation* either you numbnut.. Can't you EVER get that straight??

Oh look.... your ride's here~!


7 posted on 02/03/2005 5:27:49 PM PST by JesseJane (KERRY: I have had conversations with leaders, yes, recently.That's not your business, it's mine.)
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To: COEXERJ145
Pat is stuck back in the past........his reasoning is somewhat sound for the 50s or 60s but he still doesn't get the fact that we are in a different war and terrorists can reach out and touch us with WMD........well meaning as he is...he is still watching "Father knows Best" and "Ozzie and Harriet".........poor delusional Pat
8 posted on 02/03/2005 5:28:11 PM PST by NorCalRepub
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To: RWR8189

Sorry, Pat, not interested in your observations or prescriptions any more. Why don't you ask Dickie Morris for lessons in rehabilitation? He's miles ahead of you.


9 posted on 02/03/2005 5:28:16 PM PST by Snickersnee (Where are we going? And what's with this handbasket???)
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To: RWR8189

Hey DIMs, where's the exit strategy for getting us out of the U.N.?


10 posted on 02/03/2005 5:30:11 PM PST by frogjerk
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To: RWR8189

"The insurgency has always been a war against the U.S. occupation"

NO! IT IS NOT!! The insurgents have killed 10 times the number of Iraqis (police, military & civilian) than they have Americans.

Even in the last 2-3 days - who have the "insurgents" attacked ..?? Iraqi policeman - and the Iraqi general public which includes WOMEN AND CHILDREN - only 3 Americans have been attacked.


11 posted on 02/03/2005 5:33:41 PM PST by CyberAnt (Where are the dem supporters? - try the trash cans in back of the abortion clinics.)
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To: COEXERJ145
Agreeing even partially with the most despicable politican in America, Traitor Ted Kennedy, is a despicable act by itself.

Anyway we should not be surprised by what a bitter loser like Buchanin says.

12 posted on 02/03/2005 5:34:16 PM PST by jveritas
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To: RWR8189
Pat is such a dork:

• Inform the new Iraqi assembly that the United States has no plans for any permanent U.S. military presence on Iraqi soil.

As if this conversation has not already taken place, if the Iraqis want us to completely pull-out. D'UH!

• Pledge continued U.S. aid in battling the resistance and rebuilding the country, as long as an elected government endures.

Isn't obvious that's what we're ALREADY doing? D'UH!

• Accelerate the training and equipping of Iraqi army forces, and the transfer to them of the duty to defend their own government.

ALREADY being done. D'UH!

• Announce an initial drawdown of U.S. forces, so Iraqis get the message that the defense of democracy in their own country is first and foremost their own duty, not ours. While we will aid them in their battle, its ultimate outcome will depend upon them.

As if they don't get the message already and aren't trying to defend their own country. D'UH!

13 posted on 02/03/2005 5:34:31 PM PST by DTogo (U.S. out of the U.N. & U.N out of the U.S.)
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To: JesseJane
I guess he figures the "insurgents" have a better plan (than free elections and a more democratic society) for Iraq.

Love the graphic!

14 posted on 02/03/2005 5:35:17 PM PST by anniegetyourgun
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To: RWR8189

25,374,691 live in Iraq. A good majority, something like 80%, voted on Monday. 1% are insurgents. I think once the taste of freedom really sets into the mouths of the other 80%, that 1% better hide or leave. I expect us to stay in Iraq for a couple of decades. Not as occupiers, but as a testament, just like Korea, to how the Iraqis want us to stay. They will need us in the near future to defend themselves against a horde of freedom haters, and snakes like Iran and Syria. If we were to leave completely, Iraq would be at war constantly for many years.


15 posted on 02/03/2005 5:35:35 PM PST by phoenix0468 (One man with courage is a majority. (Thomas Jefferson))
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To: RWR8189

Was ANYBODY listening to the President last night?


16 posted on 02/03/2005 5:36:50 PM PST by msnimje
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To: DTogo
Basically I'm with you. This piece is eerily similar to Nancy Pelosi's "response" speech to Bush's SOTU: criticize Bush for not having a "plan", then state the "details" of her plan, which are (drumroll)... train Iraqis to take over security, rebuild, etc...

(yawn)

Why these people think they are making new or interesting observations is quite beyond me.

17 posted on 02/03/2005 5:37:13 PM PST by Dr. Frank fan
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To: RWR8189

Maybe the reasonable parts sounded that way because they pretty much list exactly what Bush is already doing.


18 posted on 02/03/2005 5:38:45 PM PST by Txsleuth (Proud to be a Texan)
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To: RWR8189

Yeah, let's hear conditions for Pat's exit -- as soon as possible.


19 posted on 02/03/2005 5:40:11 PM PST by Wolfstar (Have YOU laughed at a Democrat today?)
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To: phoenix0468
25,374,691 live in Iraq. A good majority, something like 80%, voted on Monday.

So around 20M votes were cast? I haven't seen that figure in the papers. Or do you mean 80% of elligible voters, or 80% of registered voters?
20 posted on 02/03/2005 5:40:26 PM PST by rhtwngwarrior
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