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To: rgboomers
Well LTCM wasn't trading electronically, they were using computers for valuation only. they were trading bonds and associated over the counter instruments which can't be traded electronically yet (Tradeweb aside which has grown up since the demise of LTCM).

As to your other question, if you raise the cost of a transaction, you haven't prevented the value of the asset from changing, you've only raised the threshold that short term traders need to make a profit. If a bid offer spread is .1 and a .1 tax is added to each transaction, the spread will change quickly to .15 or so depending on how the market organically decides to address the disposition of the tax. So now instead of each change in price being between the bid offer spread being .1 points apart, They will be .15 points apart...which is more volatile than before.

This concept translates into longer time frames as well, but it's a little more complicated to explain. The cumulative cost of information is a big part of why 2 different people can look at the same asset at the same time with the same information and think it should have 2 different values. If you increase the cost of information, you increase only that difference. In the end, that difference of opinion, or lack of consensus is what leads to volatility.

I don't mean to imply that it's a phenomenon with a single cause because it isn't. Many things effect the change in consensus strength at a particular time, but it's certainly a contributor.

the best thing to do to reduce volatility is to find a way to make the markets more efficient. Adding a tax does the opposite.

14 posted on 02/02/2005 5:58:18 AM PST by tcostell
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To: tcostell
" The best thing to do to reduce volatility is to find a way to make the markets more efficient. Adding a tax does the opposite. "

Okay, I see what you are saying. I am embarrassed to say that I have proposed a solution that makes the problem worse. Just like a liberal would! Please, forgive me.

Well, at least I listened to reason! Thanks, for the education. I have for a long time thought this tax was a good idea. Now, I don't.

Do you have any ideas on how to make the markets more efficient and reduce the volatility?
16 posted on 02/02/2005 6:23:01 AM PST by rgboomers
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