Excellent Analysis... The only pundit that has this figured out is Mr. Newt, who predicted that Bush would win because he was to the LEFT of the average American.
The time is right for new conservative party. It should start within the Republican Party and put up conservative candidates in the primaries to force the pubs to the right. Eventually this party becomea the conservatives, the Republican party the left, and the Democrats swallowed by the socialists.
And all the while this transformation occurs...the Dems win every election because the conservative vote is divided.