It hasn't really been that difficult to predict two things that have come to pass. First, that a drumbeat of pessimism and doom has reached a climax just prior to the elections, and second, that the intensity and violence of the terror campaign has done so on precisely the same beat. They are, in fact, two fingers belonging to the very same hand.
It isn't hard to see why Brookings, et al, are acting this way - they are dedicated believers in multilateralism, the UN, Kyoto, etc, etc - a U.S. success in Iraq is profoundly threatening to this point of view and its adherents, true believers all, would rather see the U.S. and Iraq stuck in a bloody debacle than succeed because that way people will turn back to the multilateral light. More bluntly, they want an agonizing failure because it advances their worldview. In my opinion this is a fair working definition of "evil" but they've been at it a very long time.
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Editorial Reviews
Since 9/11, we have seen more clearly what we did not see before. A consensus has developed in Washington that something is terribly awry in the Muslim Middle East. The Bush administration, echoed by many influential Democrats, believes that the repressive politics of the region need to open to dissenting voicesthe nexus between autocracy and Islamic extremism must be broken. Most hope gradual political reform will abate the anti-Americanism that is commonplace throughout the region. Moderate Muslims need to be nourished so they may triumph over the militants and holy warriors. But moderate Muslims are not likely the solution to bin Ladenism. Just the opposite: Those who have hated the United States mostShiite clerics and Sunni fundamentalistshold the keys to spreading democracy among the faithful. They, not the much-admired Muslim secularists, will probably liberate the Muslim Middle East from its age-old reflexive hostility to the West. Paradoxically, those who in their! souls have felt the clash of civilizations most painfully will be our salvation from future 9/11s.