No, one nuke in Tel Aviv would be the end of Iran.
No, one nuke in Tel Aviv would be the end of Iran.
It would be the end of Israel, since every Arab country that could would be sending planes and troops to attack those that survived. Knowing this, the Israeli leaders will not only put a crater full of radioactive slag, surrounded by a large glass parking lot, into every major Iranian population center, but the same will happen to EVERY major Arab population center.
I would also expect that the Aswan High Dam will be nuked, leaving a very large amount of radioactive water to flow rapidly down the Nile and into the Mediterranean. The Saudi and other Persian Gulf oil fields will also be attacked, possibly with Cobalt-60 encased bombs (which make it really "inconvenient" to visit an area for quite a number of decades). One wonders if Europe - especially Germany and France - and the states comprising the old Soviet Empire will be untouched.
You see, "Never Again!" isn't a complete thought. The complete thought is "Never again, but if again, then not for free." If Israel goes down, then the 10 plagues are going to look like a match next to a bonfire, and the recent tsunami will seem like someone got splashed by a glassfull of water. Hundreds of millions will die, and the collapse of the world economy and the starvation, disease and wars resulting therefrom will kill billions.
I think that Bush and Cheney know this, as have all American leaders since the '73 war. As such, while we may complain sometimes about Israeli actions, we won't allow Israel to either go down conventionally or be nuked - because we CAN'T afford to allow it. This is why, besides protecting ourselves and our direct interests, I believe the US will be stepping on the toes of a few mullahs within a few weeks (though definitely after the Iraqi elections).