[Torie]

Ohio trended Dem this year by about 2%, even as the nation trended GOP by about 3%, in margin. Given the numbers in 2004, the electoral college has a Dem bias. Absent suprise candidates, Ohio is where the action is, not the South. The Dems are also making a move on Colorado and Nevada. We shall see how that plays out. Minnesota and Wisconsin appear locked in place.

[NeoCaveman]

Oh I know Ohio underperformed. It did for several reasons that will not exist in 2008, namely the poor economy and Governor Bob Taft.

Bob Taft and the tax raising Ohio Republicans cost two people I know seats in the state Assembly they were running to replace term limited Republican assemblymen.

The state's commie belt (Cuyahoga, Summit, Lucas, and Mahoning counties) is continuing to lose population while southern Ohio (Republican) holds its own or grows. The GOP trend in Ohio, despite the 2004 blip is near irreversable as the state Dem party is dead.