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Posted on 01/12/2005 2:32:31 AM PST by backhoe
New possible cyclone formation next 36 hours (midway between Cape Verde and the Lesser Antilles)
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Ed Mahmoud abu al Qahool Martyr Brigades 8/9/2006 09:51AM PDT |
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Models show Tropical Disturbance 91L, and forecast tracks of tropical models. Carolinas seem to be in the way. |
BRENDAN LOY LOOKS AT hurricane disaster scenarios that make Katrina look mild.
He's right to warn of these. On the other hand, as I've noted before, the media's tendency to hype every hurricane mercilessly means that warnings about really dangerous ones are more likely to be ignored. I think that was one reason why Katrina warnings got less attention than they deserved.
UPDATE: On further reflection, I want to quote this bit from Brendan's post: "He is mystified by a study that found 60 percent of people in hurricane-prone U.S. coastal areas have no hurricane plan — which to disaster managers means up to a week’s worth of food and water squirreled away, a kit with flashlights and other gear, and an established evacuation route to higher ground."
People, I don't care where you live, you should have a week's food and water, some other disaster supplies, and a plan for where to go if you have to leave your home. More on that here.
The Long Island scenario is the worst. Not counting ferries, there are only 4 ways off the island, and they would all immediately jam shut. The highest point (about 400′) is on the Sound side; the Atlantic side is completely exposed. The south fork would be pretty much scoured clean. A category 4 would completely inundate 34 towns and largely destroy more than twice that number.
In the worst case scenario, it could be even worse than Galveston.
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U.S. Army Corps: New Orleans Levees May Not Hold in New Storm- the rest of the Gulf Coast is working hard to rebuild and clean-up with FAR less bellyaching than NO.
Website & Discussion Forum for Hurricane Watchers (Ernesto's on his way!)
| can someone post a link that has all the model runs? Got this from CrownWeather.com |
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