Well, obviously there's no evidence of what's going to be in the future. I'm making a prediction based on my gut feeling. I think that the party RINO's, and there's a solid chunk of them, will coalesce around McCain, especially the over 50 crowd.
If McCain runs, I predict an implosion 6 weeks into his campaign...
I'm over 50 and no way my wife or I are for McCain.
He's a phony.
We didn't know who we wanted 2 primaries ago, and he came to our town (in NH) before we heard Bush. We had no idea who we were for.
He gave a good speech and answered a few questions ok.
Then after the speechifying, my wife cornered him alone (except for me listening) and asked him what he thought about the troops being forced to take anthrax shots. (She's in the Air Guard)
He weasled all around for at least 3 minutes without actuallly answering.
She pressed him for a real answer, and he finally said in effect, tough luck, they have to take the shots.
That was the end of any interest we had in him as a candidate for anything.