Size estimate on this asteroid is 380 meters.
Can't even begin to estimate where on the earth it would hit if you still only have a 1 in 45 % chance of it hitting the earth at all.
But this asteroid would not have catastrophic world wide effects. If it hit the earth, 70% chance it hits the ocean, and while there is a tsunami threat it may not be that big of a tsunami threat. The chance it hits the US out of the remaining 30% chance is pretty tiny.
Thanks.
Especially if it calves into 30 pieces. Big fracas, no real damage, excluding small islands, if hit.