[wideawake]

There are fewer than half a million Orthodox voters.

In 20 years, there could be 3 times as many.

[Nonstatist]

Orthodox (10 % of total) families are generally quite large; 6 or 7 kids is not unusual.

Reform Jews reproduce at far below replacement level, worse than the Italians. Repubican percentages will increase on that basis alone.

[eluminate]

thats not exactly right there is attrition from orthodoxy to secular and non religious entities. For example there are about 2 mill reformed jews in nyc ...
The orthodox community is fairly small compared to the totall number of about 6.5 mil in US.

[Tamar1973]

Allouette: There are fewer than half a million Orthodox voters.

Wideawake:In 20 years, there could be 3 times as many.

Not if most of the Orthodox Jews make aliyah.