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To: AuH2ORepublican

Thanks for the numbers.

Bush carried NC-13? I'd assumed otherwise but hadn't looked it up.


70 posted on 12/01/2004 7:59:33 PM PST by HostileTerritory
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To: HostileTerritory

"Bush carried NC-13? I'd assumed otherwise but hadn't looked it up."



I don't know for certain, but I believe that he probably did, since (i) Bush got 50% within the lines of the 13th CD in 2000; (ii) the Bush percentage improved from 2000 by 2.5% in Granville County, 2% in Person County, 1% in Caswell County and 3% in Rockingham County; and (iii) while the Bush percentage decreased by 2.5% in Wake County, 1.5% in Guilford County and less than 1% in Alamance County, most voters in these counties are in other congressional districts and I do not believe that Bush's percentage decrease in these counties makes up for the Bush pick-up in the other 4 counties. We'll have to wait for someone with access to precinct-level data to do the analysis; I'm sure it will be up in Dave Leip's uselectionatlas.com sometime soon.


108 posted on 12/02/2004 10:27:46 AM PST by AuH2ORepublican (Extremism in the defense of liberty is no vice, moderation in the pursuit of justice is no virtue.)
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